Quote from falconview:
Okay Don! Sat on the thinking throne in the bathroom since market is closed. Picked up on the selling bit with my thinking cap on.
Couldn´t do it, because I only had one contract on each side for my trial effort. But in my thinking throne room, I figured it out.
You sell to adjust as the premium balloon, or volatility has hit that side and you are profiting from volatility. Okaaaay! Got it thankyou.
Soon as the market hits an quilibrium here, will put on a STRADDLE with five options each side. Then I would have some way to adjust to take profit out of the straddle.
Let me see, these straddles are roughly $225 each side and that is $450 for one contract straddle. So 5 contracts each side would be 10 x $225, which would be $2250. Can handle that and it will give me something to sell down in adjustment. Okay got that!
Since I only want the long straddle for one week, one strike move should be possible, which should return .40 to .50 cents, which is my goal. Once I get through learning the mechanics and nuances, will increase bet size. Sounds good!
I have no idea how you're arriving at a $0.50 move in a straddle on SPY (or Q?) for a one dollar move in the underlying. Your comment implies an initial delta of approx. 45. The delta position is going to move 10-15 cents, but you'll decay. Don't take this personally, but to arrive at a $0.50 move tells me you have no business trading these. FWIW, the vol-line would have to rise 800-1000bp on the day you bought it to hit a 50-cent move, or a 1.50 move in the underlying. At minimum.
Also, please be specific with trades; strikes, duration, premium or vol%.
I would recommend selling wings into your straddles (gamma-trade) as the opportunity presents, rather than leaving the straddle asymmetrical. Say you're long the 130 SPY straddle and spot trades to 131... you sell a pair of 33C and go long a 35C. You've flied-off the upside and reduced your gamma.
Regardless, these are bets on vol. Gamma is declining in exposure as you trade away from the strike as gamma peaks atm... so these are first and foremost bets on volatility. Gains from gamma can compensate for vega losses, but you need realized vol to allow entries on those wing shorts.
What you're trying to do is probably the most difficult $ earned by the upstairs trader.
