My nq price action method

Trade plan (created for each trade)

1.) Signal / entry
2.) Initial Stop loss
3.) Target / way of managing trade

=====================

1st trade

1.) short on a retracement to the supply line / entry 3562.25
2.) stop 3565.50
3.) Exit when supply line is broken.


Solid trade

Question regarding 3.) above though – breach of the overall supply line…

Or the near term supply line - made by the red bar w/ the wick (almost center of your first red circle)… and the next long red bar)

Or a breach of the intermediate supply line - made after the 3 green bars (8:36 ish)

I don’t know the PA that precedes the first red circle – but if you look there are a couple of things going on

A DB – before price swings back up the to the over all supply line (8:41 ish)

And.., once price swings back up and puts in the DT – there is essentially a range – encompassing the 2 DTs and the 2 DBs (8:30 - ~8:46 ish)

Just something to be aware of as the session is unfolding


Later.., at the bottom of the move down from the DT…, notice how price consolidated a bit (5 bars) at the bottom of the range I mentioned (8;51 - 8:55 ish) …, retraced to ~ the halfway point (50%) of the range.., then resumed down


Additional sign of weakness





2nd trade

1.) short off of the steeper drawn supply line / short 3548
2.) stop of 3551
3.) exit when supply is broken.

Price pulled back…, but never made it to the bottom of the range I mentioned above – close to the bottom.., but not to it (further sign of weakness)

This move / area could also constitute as a DT entry (1 top just prior to 8:49... the 2nd just after 8:49)

Good trade


3rd trade

1.) long on the retracement from the demand line and also a higher low / long 3526.75
2.) stop at 3523
3.) or when demand line is broken.


This one I question a bit

The demand line;

Appears like you drew it off the body.., and not the wick/ tail

Yet other lines – you’ve drawn off the wicks / tail

I would respectfully suggest you pick one method and stick to it (wicks or bodies) – I use the wick / tail

Another aspect I question – you went long into a range (9:45 to ~9:50) – had you considered that??

Last aspect – I think the risk was a bit much for the conditions

Bars 10:11 / 10:12 / 10:13 make HLs and a demand line (up move TL) – why not make a breach of that the stop and reduce your risk by almost 1/2


4th trade

1.) long from a higher low / long at 3535.75
2,) stop at 3530
3.) exited at the double top which was the 5th trade / or when demand line is broken.

I question this trade also

Higher low – from the low @ 10:08??

If so.., what queued you in this was a HL

I see price testing the top of the range formed @ (9:45 to ~9:50)

I also see another range just above your entry @ 10:31 to 10:38

My opinion (only) with all the weakness throughout – this trade is very risky – if I had gone long – the target would be top (test) of the 10:31 t- 10:38 range


The stop for my long would have been 3551 (absolutely no room – it either works…, or fails and I’m out)


last trade

1.) short (DT I assume) / short at 3539.50
2.) stop at 3542
3.) exited on the trend line break around 1:30 / exit when supply line is broken

Solid trade


===============

General comments

I like your clean charts (minimal lines) – makes it easy to focus on PA / trade signals

RN
 
So RN when doing prep work for the following day do I start with s/r. The 2nd item is the trend which on the daily is down. 3rd item is where we are at in the trend. Currently the nq reversed off of the upper channel and fell almost 100 points. The next support is around 3485 where extra trading has taken place.


Trading (vs learning) Always use the top down approach (learning use bottom up)

Overall TF; create/ identify – the trend & channel

Intermediate TF; also create / identify – the trend & channel…, AND also the S/R areas

Where is price in each of those

(recall the horizontal / vertical map)

===============

Currently the nq reversed off of the upper channel and fell almost 100 points. The next support is around 3485 where extra trading has taken place.

Iow.., potentially price could fall a f’n long way....

3 possible scenarios

Buying steps in.., and drives price up

Selling steps in…, and continues driving it down

Possibly an attempt to make a new intraday zone as a reference

(could be S.., or R.., just depending if price on top or the bottom of this zone)

Be ready for any combination of these

But no matter - keep your head down..., create your context... create a plan for each trade - trade each plan - move on

==================================


Aside;

This is not a prediction – just an observation…

mkt has been ignoring pretty much all decent to good earnings this past week

And Monday’s have a habit of being down days

We never know.., but time will tell

=======================


If you want – create a channel of the overall…, and a channel / S&R areas of the intermediate – then post it...,

We’ll have a look and see what we see

RN
 
The granularity on this chart stinks.., but it's free

It has a 5 hr TF setting.., not 4

To get the horizontal levels "close" - I switched to the 15 - as it's what I'm used to

Then switched back to the 5 hr to mirror your chart as close as possible


RN
 
What I'm about to say - may want bounce off Ammo (always more than one way to skin that cat)


I identify S/R areas as zones (have an upper and lower limit) - drawn as horizontal channels

Only time I'll use a single line is when price hits a level - and is immediately rejected (either up or down)

Think a long tail/ wick..., or possibly even a solid bar

==================

But typically I denote S&R as zones.., and draw them as horizontal channels

RN
 
Back
Top