Quote from aus_SPIder:
i have been trading for almsot 7 years of which 5 were profitable. I have not had a down quarter since '00 and only 4 down months since '00.
i can definately tell you that you have the wrong mentality for trading. You wont realise it for maybe a yr or two cause the SP500 has been booming and ull probably make good profits on teh back of that.
The pain will come when we move into a bear market or choppy sideways market. If your mentality hasnt changed by then ull lose everythign u make + alot more. your "high probability technical setups" will probably become high probability losses in a sideways/bear market and if your not diciplined u can wave your cash bye bye.
First off, that question wasn't directed towards you. Second, it doesn't take a genius to find which way the market is trending. I'm sorry but I'm just going to have to prove you wrong. You'll see in the coming years. As long as you know what the market is telling you and not trade based on emotion, it's pretty damn easy. Just look at price and volume, know which way the overall market is trending, know where support and resistance levels are, know as many chart patterns as possible, adjust to changing conditions etc. etc. You can give me any chart right now and I'll tell you where it's going. I know which stock to get in and when to get out. I subscribe to the KISS theory. Trading doesn't have to be complicated. Using stops is key for me at this time, since I'm not at the computer all the time (i have classes every tuesday and thursday and leave my computer by 1pm est). I like picking stocks from IBD. Generally low volume and illiquid in nature. But it makes for finding wonderful risk reward ratios with great movement up or down. You don't seem to understand the amount of trading knowledge I currently have. You don't even understand how much emotional control I have. But I'm sure you know how much enthusiasm and expectation I have. I'm glad I'm getting posts like yours saying that I'm not going to make it. It just gives me more drive to study more charts, work my ass off during non trading hours and make it big in this trading world. Thank you for making this post. It gives me even more incentive to work hard to obtain my goal.