Quote from martys:
Hi emini,
Emini and K-Rock, please feel free to PM me and maybe we can have more discussion without listening to "trading with the trend" in the background. We ARE trading the "beginning" of a trend with small stop loss while the rest of the world trading the "middle" of a trend with larger stop loss and some go for the kill.
It doesnt sound like emini is trading with a small stop loss plan. A small stop loss plan would be 1-2 points. Not only that but he is also adding positions at this point instead of cutting losers. He completely goes against the trend in his methodology. I am not saying its a bad strategy, but i AM saying that he needs to stick to higher probability trades and avoid being in a trade just for the sake of it. The only way to survival will be ROCK SOLID money management and continuous analysis on past performance so that he can avoid the big drawdowns which WILL happen.
Volatility has been pretty tame lately, just look at the VIX's. However, this won't last forever, it never does and when it does happen he will be out of the market if by then he doesnt have a tight grasp on avoiding large losses.
Again, it may work now but for how long?
emini -> you say that the reason you are a trend fighter now is because you tried the other way before but failed. Don't take this the wrong way but maybe you werent actually trading with the trend before either?? Could wider stops and shorter targets maybe be the reason for failure and not the trend?? What i am trying to say is that if lets say 1 big loser eliminates 10 winners, for you to survive you must be on the right side of the trade a hell of alot.