My backtested daily P&L

Quote from TraderZones:

The main comment is, that backtests rarely have much value. Paper traders will often throw up different ideas and "backtest" them. But it is usually void of Trading Metrics (Sharpe, PF, DD, etc.), and they tend to cherry pick promising runs. They curve fit them. etc.

A proper backtest runs over multiple market eras (bear, bull, choppy, sideways, etc.). It is multiyear, with many many trades. And the backtester has divided the past into at least an in and out of test period. And then they walk forward in the real market to get a real idea of how it works. Then of course, there is usibng real money testing it. THEN you might have something of a little value.

I agree.

TraderZones. It seems you actually know your stuff. Its a pity most of the your posts are ridiculing people instead of offering meaningful contributions.
 
Quote from thetrendfollowe:

I agree.

TraderZones. It seems you actually know your stuff. Its a pity most of the your posts are ridiculing people instead of offering meaningful contributions.

this tends to be more an impression than a reality. Spammers, scammers, self-appointed trading gurus, unsubstantiated garbage offered up as fact, people misleading newbies, people who basically can "sum up all my posts with one statement" when they obviously are giving unresearched opinion, whiners and similar will rarely get kind treatment.

I get a mild stream of people asking assistance, and who say they appreciate the fact that I do not candy coat things and demand proof for claims, rather than opinions.
 
Quote from LeeD:

The strategy trades only 68 days out of 120. I presume it does only 1 trade on most days when it actually trades at all.

It has very high Sharpe ratio of about 7. Given the small number of trades I would assume the strategy is over-optimized.

how did you get 7?

I coped and pasted the returns onto excel.
according to
http://www.stanford.edu/~wfsharpe/art/sr/sr.htm
sharpe = Average return / Sigma return = 0.63
 
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