IMO, you should not need more than a maximum of 10 points as a stop on ES in current volatility assuming your entries are good. Try plotting an ATR with a say 20MA on top to get an idea of the average stop size. If you're entering at the right moment,
trading the edges and not in the middle, you should be able to get very crisp entries.
If you can hit a 60 % win rate risking 5 ES points and gaining 10 it looks pretty good from my point of view.
This does of course assume that you actually run your winners to 10 points or more and don't cut them short. Most people don't do that, so they're really running a system with a negative R/R ratio banking many small winners and eventually taking a big loss giving it all back and then some.
Simulation 4:
Risk 5 ($250) / Gain 10 ($500)
View attachment 290976
TL;DR:
Wide stops and a negative R/R ratio requires a very, very high win rate day in and day out. If you have a positive R/R you can do fairly well even with a lower win rate.
No matter how good you are as a trader you can't escape this fundamental math, so it's very important to keep in mind.
Of course, the magic happens when you can have a positive R/R ratio and a high win rate. That's EliteTrading and sadly achievable only for the few...