MUCH WORSE than The Great Depression
http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewPost.aspx?bpid=255805&t=01002130057764754273
September 08, 2009
There are silly Fools out there that try to compare The Great Depression to "The Great Recession."
WTF is The Great Recession?....we are still at the beginning of whatever we are in as debt is just starting to default moving from sub prime into prime....and prime is much bigger than sub prime.
Sometimes I have to hold back from laughing if it wasn't so pathetic that our nation is so arrogant and indifferent to the import of our massive deficit against a backdrop of evaporating tax receipts.
In The Great Depression, we were a nation with a rising manufacturing manufacturing base with innovative industries and government was a very small percentage of GDP. Not only that, our government operated surpluses and our citizens had very little debt as conumption was restrained and a much smaller percentage of our GDP.
Just two years into the downturn and we are seeing declines NEVER seen at the worst of The Great Depression such as new home sales down 80% and land values down over 80% in many areas.
TODAY, WE ARE SIMPLY A CONSUMPTION BASED NATION THAT PRODUCED VERY LITTLE RELATIVE TO ITS CURRENT STANDARD OF LIVING.
The joke is we are seeing such distressing results so early in the game AND with government running an unprecedented deficit. In any con game, so long as the confidence remains, the game continues. But when trust is gone, the game collapses.
We are seeing revenues to the S&P already down 17%....unemployment approaching 20%.....and 100,000,000 Americans dependent on government for their monthly check WITH A $2 TRILLION DOLLAR DEFICIT. You can only run multi trillion dollar deficits and spend on consuption so long before the rest of the world calls BS.
Once that happens, they will demand payment in a different currency as they can just as easily print for their populations to consume as we can.......you can only have a rich uncle support you for so long before he tells you to get a job....or he runs out of money.
The BIG problem is that we have very little to produce that can generate foreign currency relative to our current standard of living. Our number 1, 2, and 3 exports by container volume is trash.
We have shipped overseas much of our manufacturing edge and now technological edge as well. The only thing supporting our consumption over recent years has been private borrowing and government spending. Not that the bankers have cut back dramatically on private lending.....revenues to government have evaporated and massive deficits are the only thing keeping the ship from sinking.
Not too far off, if government keeps running a growing defiict, our currency will be worthless and many Amercans could face very difficult times because most of our vocations support a consumption based economy and not production....even mine as an attorney, or my friends who are doctors, architects, CEOs. accountants, psychologists, tech workers, and professors,
At this point based on current Zombulation policies, barring some miracle new technology, it is not a question whether this will be worse than The Great Depression....it is simply a question of how much worse......as we are already there in a number of mearures even with massive deficits.
9.09 arrives once someone calls BS....the UN sent a warning shot last night......just watch how the rest of the nations jump on board as we move through September.
http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewPost.aspx?bpid=255805&t=01002130057764754273
September 08, 2009
There are silly Fools out there that try to compare The Great Depression to "The Great Recession."
WTF is The Great Recession?....we are still at the beginning of whatever we are in as debt is just starting to default moving from sub prime into prime....and prime is much bigger than sub prime.
Sometimes I have to hold back from laughing if it wasn't so pathetic that our nation is so arrogant and indifferent to the import of our massive deficit against a backdrop of evaporating tax receipts.
In The Great Depression, we were a nation with a rising manufacturing manufacturing base with innovative industries and government was a very small percentage of GDP. Not only that, our government operated surpluses and our citizens had very little debt as conumption was restrained and a much smaller percentage of our GDP.
Just two years into the downturn and we are seeing declines NEVER seen at the worst of The Great Depression such as new home sales down 80% and land values down over 80% in many areas.
TODAY, WE ARE SIMPLY A CONSUMPTION BASED NATION THAT PRODUCED VERY LITTLE RELATIVE TO ITS CURRENT STANDARD OF LIVING.
The joke is we are seeing such distressing results so early in the game AND with government running an unprecedented deficit. In any con game, so long as the confidence remains, the game continues. But when trust is gone, the game collapses.
We are seeing revenues to the S&P already down 17%....unemployment approaching 20%.....and 100,000,000 Americans dependent on government for their monthly check WITH A $2 TRILLION DOLLAR DEFICIT. You can only run multi trillion dollar deficits and spend on consuption so long before the rest of the world calls BS.
Once that happens, they will demand payment in a different currency as they can just as easily print for their populations to consume as we can.......you can only have a rich uncle support you for so long before he tells you to get a job....or he runs out of money.
The BIG problem is that we have very little to produce that can generate foreign currency relative to our current standard of living. Our number 1, 2, and 3 exports by container volume is trash.
We have shipped overseas much of our manufacturing edge and now technological edge as well. The only thing supporting our consumption over recent years has been private borrowing and government spending. Not that the bankers have cut back dramatically on private lending.....revenues to government have evaporated and massive deficits are the only thing keeping the ship from sinking.
Not too far off, if government keeps running a growing defiict, our currency will be worthless and many Amercans could face very difficult times because most of our vocations support a consumption based economy and not production....even mine as an attorney, or my friends who are doctors, architects, CEOs. accountants, psychologists, tech workers, and professors,
At this point based on current Zombulation policies, barring some miracle new technology, it is not a question whether this will be worse than The Great Depression....it is simply a question of how much worse......as we are already there in a number of mearures even with massive deficits.
9.09 arrives once someone calls BS....the UN sent a warning shot last night......just watch how the rest of the nations jump on board as we move through September.
