Quote from nitro:
So you work there, have done the research, but don't believe that Ray Ozzie or Craig Mundie are visionaries in their own right? Either you have no clue, or you don't work there.
First you're misquoting me, I said "not many", not "none". The question is if these people can make the changes necessary.
I've been there for eight years now and it was pretty good till late 2001. Since then things have been getting worse, moral is pathetic, and we aren't producing anything that's really interesting (qualified: things that make money, so don't tell me about the XBox, or all the other cool things MS Research puts out).
I remember a day when people would wait in lines over night for the release of a new MS product. Now they plan to upgrade whenever it is they get their next computer. The new revs of the old products have stopped being a 'must have' and are now a 'nice to have'.
So you work for a company whose stock you don't want to own, and believe that the people running it are not visionaries, or managers that aren't effective? Your credibility is going down fast.
I work there because I'm happy with the work and happy with the pay. Just because those two are true doesn't mean it's a good stock investment.
Sorry to sound confrontational, I mean I'd love for your predictions to come true because I've still got a few thousand stock options in the low thirties, so bring on forty dollars!, but I'm not going to hold my breath.