Sprout - this is the depth I have been looking for on this topic. Thanks.
My ladder skills have improved 100% and I am slowly improving my ability to trade turns on the ladder but Im only about 50% successful of been able to flip with momentum flips at this point. ie. if Im scalping with volume to the upside- taking longs, then it turns and makes a top and starts selling, Im usually getting caught at the tops and only been able to flip to selling it on the turn. Does that make sense????
So about 80-90% of the time, I'm able to go with the direction and volume. But say Im long- about 10% or 20% of the time I can get caught in a small or big retracement. Out of these times - 50% of the time am I able to immediately flip and start selling.
The advertising orders and market maker orders are fascinating to see. There are plenty of small flippers in the market driving or pulling price.
I like what you say about the notes and pauses in between. What can I read from these pauses and the cycles? I think there is a lit to be taken away from a deep understanding of the small cycle ranges - 5 up, 8 down, 3 up, 5 up, 2 down....pause....3 down, 5 up....pause...etc.
im happy though that Ive spotted it and am concentrated on improving on it. Im not fully clear on the above 4tick grid.
What do you have up on your display? What you describe sounds like reacting to a turn vs anticipating one.
You’re on track with cycle ranges and pauses. It’s more revealing as one adds visual geometry with charts. Consider them moments of trader uncertainty (or certainty depending whether one is on the right side of the market or not. Price either continues or changes.
Posting a chart with your annotations would help.
The 5x5 is a drill down exercise is to create a differentiated awareness of market operation. It requires the work of memorization. By combining it with other drills, it starts to build sports memory. Sports memory gets served up by the unconscious in a state of Flow. Calibrating your display with your perception (observation filtered through bias) will make states of knowing via ‘Seeing’ What Must Come Next occur with greater frequency. The result will be a more relaxed, confident, clear & supportive relationship with the market.
Contrary to popular belief, our emotions are our guide in life. Whatever we desire it is for the sole purpose of making ourselves feel better in the having of it. However there’s a lot of confusion in regards to how emotions can serve one in the trading world. Emotions are something to ‘control’ or ‘suppress’. Rationality and logic dominates this world as the key to success. Truly they are keys and yet there are locks which those keys do not open.
Trading the DOM will have ebbs and flow like tides. The T&S screens will filter for larger lots that tip the scale toward the new dominant direction via 1)‘submerged’ market orders triggered by price discovery 2) The entry of new participants with a contra-view or 3) The exit of supporting participants in the dominant direction.
Note areas of price pairs where the market orders are oscillating rapidly long and short distinct from areas of price levels that price scrolls right past. Expanding to larger and smaller timeframes helps clarify when larger players enter, exit & reverse.
Some moves require what would be akin to drawing back an arrow on a bow or the compression of a spring. These are perceived on all timeframes if one understands trends are composed of trend segments. Like a fractal, as above, so below.
The tick charts will show the shift in translation of the dominant BBid/BAsk two-pair.
It’s easier to explore the different function of trader states (enter, exit, hold, reverse, etc.) at low volume pace periods. In other words during the middle of the trading day when volume is at it’s lowest and price movement is within a range - one can explore bracketing price via the DOM. Paradoxically, this area is also highest risk.
This exists in a positive/negative spatial relationship. Price is in range until it’s not. Price is in translation until it’s not. Insights come when playing with positive and negative space existing simultaneously yet reveal a different picture depending on where you focus. For example working with the above; not in-range then is translating, not translating then is in-range.
To understand the above, it’s necessary to suspend the judgements of current beliefs and have a direct experience.
Take a blank sheet of paper.
1) Make a grid of 5 rows of 5 columns of a single bar. On all these bars make a small horizontal line to cross the vertical bar. Divide the bar into 4 equal portions. There will be a ‘tick’ at the ends of the bar and three between. This is your blank master.
2) On a copy, work through the possibilities of the open and close which is represented by the ticks. Look to form first before adding color. Ie. Price opens and closes on the bottom tick. Next, price opens on bottom, closes on one tick above. Etc.
3) Organize is such a way to make logical sense to you.
4)Post your result.