It’s almost hard to believe the economy can “improve” because we are hitting on almost all cylinders right now. Even areas like manufacturing are up and running right now.
And what nobody wants to hear is that the biggest cyclical problem on the horizon is actually deflation. The dollar is strong and virtually every one of our main trading partners is struggling right now. We are actually too dominant right now. So much so that the international competition to get back into the American market can flood us.
And I get that people, not saying you in particular, see the prospect of deflation and think great lower prices but that reek’s havoc on inventories, putting businesses upside down and needing to take cost cutting measures. And the first place to cut costs is jobs, then benefits.
The Fed needs to be careful with these interest rates. The consensus seems to have gone from rate cut in March to rate cut in May but that could be a real problem with the dollar so strong and American market looking like King Kong.
King Kong. Listen to me now believe me later on.