Quote from rezo_s:
USDJPY: Very attractive for buying even though we saw very strong USD buying already. The possible target I see at the moment is 111 figure (to be more accurate, 111.10 â the 38% fibo of August 2003 â recent 105 lows). First resistance is coming from 110.00â110.50 area, after which the 111.00 should be triggered.
If we continue looking at the Fibo levels, we see that next important level coming is the 50% near 113 level. I don't know how relevant is it to talk about it right now due to the long lasting down trend. It took more than half a year to make this way down, so taking back 50% of it seems little too much in such a shot period.
To sum up, 111.00 seems reasonable to be seen in coming week(s), but afterwards and even on the way there, we may see selling anytime. Therefore, buying should be done with tight stops (not more than 50 bp). This is the only one out of major pairs I see as best to buy. Will see during the week how it goes. Once again, looking at overall picture, its best to stay away for some time and watch for further developments, but if buying USD, then this is the pair to do so.
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