At the start of 2002, nine of ten Wall Street strategists incorrectly expected the market to rise this year. Only one, Douglas Cliggott, then of J.P. Morgan Securities, correctly forecasted a sharp decline and remains bearish today
S&P 500
Strategist Firm 2002 Target
Edward Kerschner UBS Warburg 1570
Thomas Galvin Credit Suisse First Boston*** 1375
Abby Joseph Cohen Goldman Sachs 1363
Jeffrey Applegate Lehman Brothers*** 1350
Tobias Levkovich Salomon Smith Barney 1350
Edward Yardeni Deutsche Bank* 1300
Steve Galbraith Morgan Stanley 1225
Richard Bernstein Merrill Lynch 1200
Thomas McManus Banc of America Securities 1200
Douglas Cliggott J.P. Morgan** 950
S&P 500 875
*Now at Prudential Financial
**Now at B&P Research Office
***No longer at the firm
As of 12/27 close
Source: Barron's
S&P 500
Strategist Firm 2002 Target
Edward Kerschner UBS Warburg 1570
Thomas Galvin Credit Suisse First Boston*** 1375
Abby Joseph Cohen Goldman Sachs 1363
Jeffrey Applegate Lehman Brothers*** 1350
Tobias Levkovich Salomon Smith Barney 1350
Edward Yardeni Deutsche Bank* 1300
Steve Galbraith Morgan Stanley 1225
Richard Bernstein Merrill Lynch 1200
Thomas McManus Banc of America Securities 1200
Douglas Cliggott J.P. Morgan** 950
S&P 500 875
*Now at Prudential Financial
**Now at B&P Research Office
***No longer at the firm
As of 12/27 close
Source: Barron's