Quote from michaelscott:
Gold
I believe a pullback is in order. That pullback will be
698-((730-542)/2)= 604
Then there will be an advance that might break the top. In the event of a close over 698 then we have a price target of 698+188= 886
The next Fed meeting will set off the correction to the 50% retracement point. This also makes sense when you connect the 2006 bottoms of 542 and 563 on the chart together. It may not get to 604, probably low 600s. Then it will be time to buy into the AU gold etf.
Notice the Bollinger Bands on the chart and how well they work with gold. A smack on the top means that the price will deflect and make for the middle. If the middle is invaded, then the price will smack the bottom Bollinger line.
My opinion of Gold is that the chart is starting to look like a tech stock from 1999-2000. There is this mania on the televisions and it seems so familiar to 2000. Everyone was saying to buy tech back in 1999-2000, now its gold.
I think money can be made from this trade, but it just seems too familiar with 1999 tech bubble. I'll pass.
I watch GLD because I can't trade Gold itself, anyway. I think it holds $650, and if that breaks it holds $625.
What is the Fed going to do to hurt Gold at this point? What is left in their arsenal? They could lend money to someone to short it, or get the IMF to sell some, or yap about how they are going to fight inflation, but none of these things will change gold coins into paper. Lucky thing, IMO.

