Mike's Swing Trading Journal

Mike,

Nice journal start. Thanks.

I started a breakout/breakdown swing strategy 4 months ago, and have found it a good start to supplement my daytrading.

How many positions on average do you have open?

Many thanks for sharing,

PatrickQ
 
Quote from karsat:

UNH, CVH and CLX are good lookin on long side after pullback

I have an eye on those stocks but they do need a few more down days before I would consider them for entry. THey are still too overbought for me.
 
Quote from EchoPatrick:

Mike,

Nice journal start. Thanks.

I started a breakout/breakdown swing strategy 4 months ago, and have found it a good start to supplement my daytrading.

How many positions on average do you have open?

Many thanks for sharing,

PatrickQ


I usually have between 3-7 open positions. But it mainly depends on the market conditions and how my p&l does. I am a firm believer of averaging up and betting more into winners. I would rather scale up and have a huge position into a winner then diversify.

I am not running a hedge or mutual fund so i can afford to take risk and go full throttle on a position thats really starting to take off. Thats how I make money. Probably 1 out of 10 trades have the potential to make serious money.. and if i am positioned properly I clean up. Thats the basis of my trading... to mostly chop around.. but when i nail a winner i make sure i have most of my eggs in that basket.

For example look at Stts. Right now I down a little on it. If it drops under the 50day sma.. i will probably start scaling out most of it for a moderate loss and move on. But if we have a high volume up day and the stock really starts to move.. i will be adding 1k shares to every 50 cent rise. A stock like that has the potential to rip to $8-9 in the next few weeks. I want to make sure i am fully positioned to nail the move. But most of the time this never happens and I end up washing those type of trades out.


--MIKE
 
Mike,

I would have to agree with your approach, as it makes tons of sense to average into your winner, and that you BE most of the time, then hit a home run. From my journal notes on my swings, I have made similar comments.

For now, however I have lots of buying power, so I look to have open at a minimum 10 positions (both long and short), but find that the more positions I have open the more money I make. I have a ceiling based on a basic % of my equity for all open positions - to give me a max number of positions.

My targets are tight, as are my stops - hence the win rate is what has generated a positive expectancy of the swings over the past 4 months.

I might over time however, change around my swing towards more of an approach like yours.

Once again, thanks for sharing and I look forward to taking more notes on your comments and insight.

Thanks,
PatrickQ
 
Quote from Hook N. Sinker:

What % risk do you use for a stock?


I never risk more than 1% of my total portfolio as far as position size goes. I treat each trade seperately if I scale in. So if I am long 100 IBM and the stock goes up 3 points and I want to add another 100 shares.. i treat that trade seperately.. so I am risking 2% of my portfolio on the trade.. but of course I would be in a profit.. so its a little different.

As far as stop losses on stocks.. i normally use 2x the 14 day ATR... or near a major swing low. I use that as my hard stop loss.. but I rarely take losses there.. normally i scale out and book losses earlier before they reach my protective stop. Usually if i am right.. my stocks will rip from the very beginning.
 
Nice market reversal.. still long GKIS, STTS, CERN, EFD.

I scaled out 300 STTS and 100 GKIS for small losses... because market reversed I will wait until EOD to see how they close before I dump completely half my position.
 
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