Hello?!? Any updates? You said you would update this every day.
Midnight rally
- Thread starter Rickshaw Man
- Start date
Hello?!? Any updates? You said you would update this every day.
He picked a bad time to "start updating daily". We're headed south in a big way here shortly.
Mr. "Just buy the cash close" about to get that ass waxed like he did back in March.
Why would he? If you just buy at the peak of the chart he posted, it would take only a year to get back to BE! But I digress.
Hehehe
Certainly not the best week to start this experiment. Buying the cash close and selling the cash open yielded a gross return of - 46,00 ES points this week - assuming actual close/open prices and not considering commissions.
If we count the entire year so far. 10 trading sessions. The result is - 15,25 points.
So, currently the system is in drawdown.
If we look at December 2020, the end result was + 77,75 points. However, there were 8 gaps down with the two largest being - 44,50 and - 23,25.
So, if being stopped on that largest gap down, the end result would probably be worse.
I believe this is a strategy that probably comes ahead in the end in a rising market, but it requires deep pockets and will face some huge drawdowns. As such - it probably isn't a suitable strategy for compounding as one large gap down will erase much or all your profits made earlier on smaller size.
If you trade it less aggressively, well, then you should be okay in the end.
Here's the gross result for 2020. End result = + 545,25. Maximum drawdown = -854,25.
If we count the entire year so far. 10 trading sessions. The result is - 15,25 points.
So, currently the system is in drawdown.
If we look at December 2020, the end result was + 77,75 points. However, there were 8 gaps down with the two largest being - 44,50 and - 23,25.
So, if being stopped on that largest gap down, the end result would probably be worse.
I believe this is a strategy that probably comes ahead in the end in a rising market, but it requires deep pockets and will face some huge drawdowns. As such - it probably isn't a suitable strategy for compounding as one large gap down will erase much or all your profits made earlier on smaller size.
If you trade it less aggressively, well, then you should be okay in the end.
Here's the gross result for 2020. End result = + 545,25. Maximum drawdown = -854,25.
Since 2020 was a bit of an outlier year, here's the numbers for 2019. The year started in drawdown with 2 successive gaps down.
A peak in May (sell in May and go away?) and a trough in June. The end of 2019 did really well.
End result gross = + 349,50. Maximum drawdown = - 128,50.
A peak in May (sell in May and go away?) and a trough in June. The end of 2019 did really well.
End result gross = + 349,50. Maximum drawdown = - 128,50.
Just a quick visual seems to indicate that the returns on this strategy correlates fairly well with the overall market. So, you might as well utilize a trend following method on the daily.
It is a non-winnable strategy and does not work. It cannot. It if did, there would be thousands of funds utilizing this strategy. It is total fantasy, and an artifact of wishful thinking.
Case in point? The OP has not posted since that nasty drop from Monday through Wednesday.
And it is not working tonight, either.
Case in point? The OP has not posted since that nasty drop from Monday through Wednesday.
And it is not working tonight, either.