If your system has a 90% win rate something is wrong..
Hmmm. Maybe so. Any suggestions for me?
If your system has a 90% win rate something is wrong..
Hmmm. Maybe so. Any suggestions for me?
…"One of the exciting things about the new micros is the margins are only $50 to $100, so you can play like a big trader and finally learn how to scale in and out. The best traders usually take the bulk of their positions off at the first target but then let their winners run. And with an overnight margin of about $500, you could even do a swing trade and not get stressed out..."
There is one flaw in your thinking...The current volatility environment on the equity futures is the EXACT reason you should NOT try this right now. This high-volatility environment is what drove many trader to the micros in the first place, me included.
And while everything is proportional, your idea of 1000 to 10,000 is admirable. But 10,000 to 100,000 is not.
While you may be able to scale in and out of the micros to your satisfaction, everything changes when the scale goes up ten-fold. Mostly on the psychology side, but also just the practical side. If in your first go you when you switch to the minis at $10K in your account, you scale in a bit and you get a position against you in, say, 3-4 contracts? You will take a major loss if not in the position, but on the margin call at closing time.
You may see this in the micros, too. Be very careful with your idea here, please. I would love to see you succeed, but do not think it is going to be painless.
I have an account that could accommodate a very large number of minis, but I am sweating this volatility even with micros. The now unpredictability and huge swings of the equity futures weighs heavily on my mind, and is causing me to be so conservative that I am making bupkus.
What was your contract size? was it daytrading?
I would suggest you stop entertaining others' ideas for now, and just go with your system live as you have it in your head. You have your track record from the CME contest, so implement, and see how you do!
The pressure gets hard as the $ value of trades increases, but as he’s scaled up to get to 10k he’ll likely be trading full emini sizes by 10k anyway, then just increasing the same although bigger steps.
So i don’t see an issue at all.
Looking forward to watching your Journal. I'm waiting for the volume to pick up in the MGC contract. The MNQ has plenty of volume already. Good luck!
Thanks for the interest.
I agree that MGC certainly needs more volume to really be tradable. And I heard there are some pretty vocal bodies try to get an MCL created. That would be nice....