So let's do a follow up on my prediction:
That numbered peaked on May 6th at 72, so a bit higher than I expected, but yes, much lower than the previous peak of 124. Now it is down to 58 and falling.
Their daily reporting numbers are hugely fluctuating, probably because they report in dumps.
One explanation for this sudden surge was that they were relative sucessful last year and during the winter thus less herd immunity and when everyone opened up, the new virus variant had plenty to work with.
Their number is still higher than other states, but it is on the right trajectory.
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With these fairly accurate predictions I wonder why I don't work for the CDC...
My guess is that the death moving average may go up to 55-60 2-3 weeks from now, but will not be anywhere close to 124. We shall see, I will keep an eye on it.
That numbered peaked on May 6th at 72, so a bit higher than I expected, but yes, much lower than the previous peak of 124. Now it is down to 58 and falling.
Their daily reporting numbers are hugely fluctuating, probably because they report in dumps.
One explanation for this sudden surge was that they were relative sucessful last year and during the winter thus less herd immunity and when everyone opened up, the new virus variant had plenty to work with.
Their number is still higher than other states, but it is on the right trajectory.
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With these fairly accurate predictions I wonder why I don't work for the CDC...
