MGB sorry for taking so long to reply....but have been away at the Online Trading Expo in Orange County for the last few days.
How do you go about turning a negative expectancy system into a positive expectancy system.
Well there are quite a few ways.
The best traders I know are usually right less than half the time (usually 40%) but their gains are 5 to 10 times what they lose.
This means they lose (1 times their risk) while making 10 times .
Another type of system would be a lower expectancy but higher probability. Such as a lot of daytrading systems. This can be a system that is right 70% of the time with 1-2R winners and losers that are 1 R.
The trade though so far you have deccribed is losing 30 times what your risked and making 1 times. This won't take long to bring you to the poorhouse.
Might a bring a suggestion about a book from someone who has trained me on this subject quite well.
http://www2.elitetrader.com/bo/index.cfm?action=view&B_ID=57&CatID=6
read the reviews here if you think this is some sort of promotion.
or the 56 reviews here....
http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/t...2/sr=2-1/ref=aps_sr_b_1_1/103-8157954-5525447
I think the majority speak for themselves on this topic.
I'm writing this because what I've been reading tells me you won't last much longer unless you change something.
rtharp