Quote from seneca_roman:
This thread reminds me of the purchase of my second house in New Jersey. My Dad warned me I was overpaying and that basically the sky was going to fall due to the crises of that time
(Early 70s) being runaway inflation and the recent resignation of Nixon and oil prices rising out of control, etc, etc, etc.
I paid about 50K for it, sold it a two years later for 85+, and it currently sold for over 400K.
So, maybe it will be different this time, but history taught me that what appears overpriced may not be to others and as long as someone steps up to the plate and pays a higher price, the fear of bubbles bursting remain just that - fear.
Sure, they'll be local markets, like S. Florida, that are slumping. I own a condo there, and its market price fell a shocking 10% from the highest price ever paid for a unit in the complex. But even that horrific fall in price leaves me with more than a double in just over 4 years of owning it.
Seneca
Hello Seneca: Your early 1970s purchase was similar to my first home bought in the Spring of 1970. Location.. Location.. Location was and still is a big factor in how well one will make out in a home purchase. I lucked out by buying near what turned out now to be one of the most expensive lakes in the entire state of Minnesota. Lake Minnetonka. I believe the second thing that helps is the number of people wanting to buy. The "Baby Boomers" helped many areas. The third thing that helped was more women bringing home a good or bigger paycheck to help buy inflated home prices. With all that said, I don't see another baby boomers generation or an extra persons income helping fuel Real Estate prices as much going foward so I look for a flat to down marker in most areas. Of course your milage may vary in your location.. I sold out my home of the last 32 years. I couldn't pass up a 10 fold increase and a chance to move into the country with more room to spare. I worked in Montana many years ago and it is easy to see why there is an influx to that clean "Big Sky Country" from big city life and its problems. I considered going back to Montana but as was mentioned the Western towns were getting run up in price when I did some looking in Montana.
Dollars don't alway count in Real Estate since many couples want a home to raise kids so they pay up but I think they are maxing out in buying power for a while. Interesting topic for sure........... agpilot