MBLY

O

oldnemesis

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/02/24/the-associated-press-mobileye-tops-street-4q-forecasts.html

http://www.investors.com/news/techn...look-light/?ven=YahooCP&src=AURLLED&ven=yahoo

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/fbr-cuts-mobileyes-price-target-124204353.html

http://seekingalpha.com/article/3944626-mobileye-bottomed

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=mbly

Trade:
With MBLY at 33.17
Sept 20/15 bull put spread for a net credit of $45
Yield = 45/455 = 9.9% in 198 days or 18.2% annualized
Prob = 79%
Expectation = .79(45) - .08(455) - .13(228) = 35.6 - 36.4 - 29.6 = -30.4

Price............. Profit / Loss.......... ROM %
10.00................ (455.00)............ -90.10%
15.00................ (455.00)............ -90.10%
17.05................ (250.20)............ -50.04%
19.55..................... 0.00................ 0.00%
20.00.................... 45.00............... 9.90%
25.00.................... 45.00............... 9.90%
30.00.................... 45.00............... 9.90%
35.00.................... 45.00............... 9.90%
40.00.................... 45.00............... 9.90%

I believe MBLY will be bought within the next six months.
 
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