Quote from Bolimomo:
Grasshopper:
Did you keep monitoring $TRIN today? Early on it was as low as 0.2!!!! Then 0.3... Then went to 0.5 or so. Remember what I said: a day like this: NO SHORT TRADE
A good approach would be waiting for the market to pull back. On the lower time-frame (e.g. 100 tick or so)... when it looks "very bearish" with a fluid sell, get in and long. I saw it at about 10:15 am (PDT) or so? ES dropped 5-6 points from a second push (which has a high chance to fail). 5-6 points should be a good place to fade to go long. I would imagine Dow probably dropped 40-50 points or so at that time.
Your Trade A looked right (in direction). I think you probably should tighten up the stop when it started accelerating upwards. Usually: Acceleration means "the end is near" near trend end.
Hi, Boli!
Today I watched TRIN and TICK almost 1/3 of the time. (Still getting used to it though. )That's how I decided the trade A is a great entry, I was so excited when I saw it shooting up. Then the tick was still low today below 0.7 and above 0.3 after I entered. So I set the OCO order and left my desk, I figured today could be the very bullish day. I am riding the trend without getting out. I would only do long trades.
But after I got back,(after 10:30ish) and saw tick was trading above 0.7, TRIN was coming down below 0, Price is breaking the up trend line and making higher low, Price also formed a double top pattern, Plus I was stopped out, I thought the trend is reversing.... Then I took short trade.... I didn't have that thoughts of buy into the "fluid sell"... so instead I short at the low, and keep shorting...
I would say trade A entry is the best entry I have ever had, Everything lined up perfectly with TICK and TRIN's support, it's the exit was screwed up...
I have been practicing using multiple time frames, TRIN and Tick Chart, Pivot Point, Wave Counts, Fib retracement-all the great tips from you. And some Al's approach on 5 min chart.... Probably need more time to make them work better on my trades.