Quote from NoDoji:
"Price is in a strong uptrend off the overnight pivot low and has put in 6 legs up." This is a true technical statement.
"Price is moving back up to test that high of 78.79." This is a true technical statement.
"If it wasn't for 6 legs up already I'd have a buy stop @ 76.80 for the breakout, but I can't imagine it running a whole lot higher before staging a deeper pullback." This is my opinion and is based on the fact that I can't recall ever seeing a 7th push in a trend provide a really strong breakout.
"The early pullback long entry @ 78.75 has already passed me by and that makes it tricky to avoid a loss if the breakout fails." This is a true technical and risk management statement.
"A break of that bar's 78.72 low should take price back to the 20-bar EMA based on my knowledge of CL price action." This is an educated guess based on experience trading CL.
"An entry @ 78.71, with a stop @ 78.84 and a target @ 78.51, which is near the 20-bar EMA and also my standard profit target for pure counter-trend trades, fits my stop loss and risk:reward criteria." These are true statements based on my rules and experience trading CL.
This is the kind of stuff that runs through my mind and provides confirmation right after my system alerts me that the neighbor's dog has barked exactly 16 times in the last 45 minutes:
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=205493&perpage=10&pagenumber=26
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Quote from PatientOperator:
Hi Matcha,
It's good to go back to SIM to do more practice. I have been alternating between LIVE and SIM for the last few months. I like the SIM environment to try out the new things I have learned so that other people's methodology will become "my methodology" and that I will have the confidence to use it.
You did good in your LIVE experience though. Like everyone else have commented that you have demonstrated you exercised good discipline in your trades especially playing very good defense.
--po

Quote from Went Fishing:
Matcha
For a 20 bar ema to generate a true reading at the opening bell we need the 20 bars prior to the 930 bar...
I use 24 hour chart for the first hout, then I switch to day session. Because I like to fit at least 2 -3 days range in my chart. LOL, I am glad I made your day! My stupidity does sounds funny!Quote from Bolimomo:
LOL... sounds like an infomercial... that you need a drug called "Reducon" to reduce your confusions...
I think you should pick one or two approaches as your "core" methodology. Then you use all others as secondary/supporting 'opinions", for taking side or for timing.
Quote from Nodoji:
I think you are evaluating too many things and missing the context as a result.
Quote from ~~~:
lately so many moody traders ... now for all the engineers aka love-sick puppies to see all my sweetie sisters including Matcha herehopefully it helps them to trade with happy hearts LOL
coz a happy person produces happy result/good result LOL![]()
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4omJYC7eIko
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dNptfSg1gCI
Quote from Matcha:
.....I got to fix this "all over the place, try to be all" behavior. I am using so many tools. And try so hard to combine them all......
Quote from BSAM:
Is it your usual modus operandi to make things as hard as possible?
Quote from BSAM:
Excuse me for saying it this way, but you seem like you do have a sense of humor about yourself. I been skimming over some of your journal, getting a real chuckle.
Me thinks you are looking at the impossible/improbable and not concentrating on the possible/probable.
Is it your usual modus operandi to make things as hard as possible?