Quote from spades434:
And regarding MA and V, keep in mind that more and more people are using debit cards for just about every previous cash transaction. Outstanding credit has declined quite a bit, so I'm not sure how'd you factor in the typical credit card usage as well.
This is a key point: recessions are good for many reasons, not the least of which is people tend to increase savings and pay-down debt. I expect online sales to be up yoy over 10% and sss yoy up over 5%.