I suppose what we are struggling with is whether free market capitalism is fundamentally incompatible with everyone having affordable access to a common standard of routine medical care at a level consistent with that of other industrialized countries. If we could answer that question, then we could get on with it one way or the other. (No matter what, if costs are brought down, nearly impossible, or the rate of increase contained (much more probable) someone is going to make less money. They will fight any change that threatens profit.)
Logic would have it that a bone would have had to be tossed to the insurance industry to keep them from opposing the ACA. Certainly single payer was a none starter. Thus the idea of the 'public option' was born. But this, in the end, also proved too threatening to the insurance industry, particularly a public option that would, unlike medicare, cover the young and healthy.**
By leaving McCarran Ferguson intact, eliminating the public option, keeping employer linked insurance, and permitting States to opt out of medicaid expansion -- a Court decision -- the ultimate failure of the ACA seems assured regardless of which party heads our government. I believed from the beginning that the success of any broad new plan would be contingent on cost control, and the final form of the ACA gave me no hope that costs could be contained to grow no faster than the GDP.
Probably single payer, which we know works better than the U.S. system*, is where we will end up, but not of course within the next four to eight years. We will limp along in the meantime. Of course I am hoping that the Republicans prove that free market capitalism is not incompatible, but I'll not hold my breath for the proof to arrive...
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*One has to assume the goals of the ACA here. Certainly the U.S. system works reasonably well for people of means, and very well indeed for those of considerable means. I have had direct experience with healthcare outside of the U.S. and found it better, in the sense of much less red tape and much easier, quicker access than what is readily available to me here. And it goes without saying, trivial cost compared to what the same care would have cost here. (I am a person means.)
**I am hitting the core issue underlying all of the sundry objections raised at various points in the debate. For example, the philosophical opposition of conservatives is incorporated fundamentally within the concerns of the free market advocates. The democrat opposition waxed and waned according to the chances of passing a bill without a single Republican vote, etc. The article gwb posted a link to above is excellent in its detailed description of the battle from start to finish..