It depends how many times, after the first bet the probability changes, it's not always the same probability, so if someone else has made the same bet as you, the outcome becomes stochastic
Depends on when he bought. If he shorted naked puts at peak of virus, he's seriously injured. If he shorted naked puts at end march 2020, he's got much richer today.Marty went to the dark side of shorting naked puts. He's got zero cred as a speculator at this point.
Depends on when he bought. If he shorted naked puts at peak of virus, he's seriously injured. If he shorted naked puts at end march 2020, he's got much richer today.
We don't know when he placed his position.
Ok. My fault for not listening to the interview.Dude, try harder. He lost $25MM in short vol. It's in the interview on this thread. Fuck, it's in the title! Listen to the interview.
Ok. My fault for not listening to the interview.
I hope he's not wiped out. He gave me the impression he's always a careful risk manager in his book.
%%Ok. My fault for not listening to the interview.
I hope he's not wiped out. He gave me the impression he's always a careful risk manager in his book.

So now I allow for anyone doing stupid