Quote from ess1096:
Yes, I do. It's in a short term downtrend within an intermediate uptrend within a long term downtrend within a very long term uptrend.
You have discovered the intermediate uptrend, which has ended and turned back down.
Bingo! No point trying to be right in analyses if charts don't support our point of view. I see a lot of posts on ET that involve personal or borrowed fundamentalish outlooks that reflect on a person's decision to make a trade. That is the way to invest, not trade ImPO. Trading involves a necessity to have an open mind, because markets go where they want to go.