Marketsurfer says short shake shack

Hold on with congrats, he needs to make back what he lost on first round.

I followed this thread by coincidence and it was an eye opener for me.
MS took losses between -17 and -36% on 4 positions. Horrible.
The average loss on the total investment was -24%.
So his ending capital is 76% from his initial capital. He went short (full position in my calculations) again at 86.70.

  1. The prices have to drop 31% to be break even ( without commission).
  2. The prices have to drop 44% to make 10% (without commission).
  3. The prices have to drop 57% to make 20% (without commission).

Now I understand why he believes it is impossible to make decent returns. The way he trades it is indeed impossible. I trade futures with high leverage. My stop is on 12.5% only. So my risk per trade is 3 times smaller than his first trade (short 67.09).

Price drivers or price divers?

upload_2015-6-1_20-19-36.png
 
I followed this thread by coincidence and it was an eye opener for me.
MS took losses between -17 and -36% on 4 positions. Horrible.
The average loss on the total investment was -24%.
So his ending capital is 76% from his initial capital. He went short (full position in my calculations) again at 86.70.

  1. The prices have to drop 31% to be break even ( without commission).
  2. The prices have to drop 44% to make 10% (without commission).
  3. The prices have to drop 57% to make 20% (without commission).

Now I understand why he believes it is impossible to make decent returns. The way he trades it is indeed impossible. I trade futures with high leverage. My stop is on 12.5% only. So my risk per trade is 3 times smaller than his first trade (short 67.09).

Price drivers or price divers?

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You do understand that this is a WIND UP Thread and the OP was never short right? By the way, a 12.5 percent stopout is the road to certain ruination.
 
Wind up or not. He is following a "system". So simulation or real, it sucks.

About my stop. I started trading in 1990, wiped out my 50k account in a few months. Started again, and still survive since then. I make even money!
I take every month a big chunk of my profits and put it away. Even if I blow up my account three times in a row, nothing can happen. I put enough away to never go broke again.
Before making statements about other people it would be wise to first know full details about his trading and capital preservation system.
 
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