Markets Will Rise for Monday Open

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noddyboy said:
Name me one trader here who is short right now? Forget the top callers with no positions or who have gone long. Who is short right now? No one will come forward. It crashes when no one expects.
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I'm calling a down day for SP 500 on Monday.
 
running man said:
What the Near Future Holds:

Kim ponders comments that sound a lot like his own :)

Market moves sideways Monday

More exchanges occur later in the week causing more market uncertainty

Kim celebrates as he takes the credit for disrupting world markets, something he was unable to do previously

Leaders wise up and admit that he is now controlling them and driving markets down or at least stifling growth

Repeat for the next 3.5 years.
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AND REMEMBER THE SPRATLEYS!! The U.S.N. has been doing laps around those puppies for the past 4-6 months (THANK GOD) to "show the flag" -- I think the official mission is "Maintain Freedom Of The Seas"... I had been worried about this for 3-4 years, and wondering why no one was making any noise --
-- big ol' presence in Africa aimed at Rare Earths
-- building a 'Chinese Navy' for the first time in recorded history -- WHY?!?!?
-- Oil lines and trading lines VITAL to their national posture as a world manufacturer --
how can that not be market-affecting and how can that not be *vital* news??? But nobody was taking it up. In the last year-18 months, that has changed, SOMEWHAT.

But if the goepolitics of the South China Sea (which, to be sure, is IMPORTANT to China, but not so close as the name South CHINA Sea implies) gets screwy, world markets will feel the hurt for an extended period. And yet, too, saying (with a straight face) that China's interests are improper or misplaced??? That's hard. Remember the Monroe Doctrine?

So, trading-wise, what's to be done? I've said bye-bye to BABA, I can tell you. And BIDU. And I keep my ear tuned to this whole business. I try not to put too much on the down-side of the market, in case any of this burbles up too fast.

Here's to Monday, y'all, and cool heads.
 
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noddyboy said:
Name me one trader here who is short right now? Forget the top callers with no positions or who have gone long. Who is short right now? No one will come forward. It crashes when no one expects.
More...

I'm short and long every damn day.
 
running man said:
Not in the very near future at least. In the meantime, NOKO will continue to pursue an offensive nuclear program until they become what they dream about - a REAL PLAYER WITH A SEAT AT THE TABLE gaining significant concessions without eye-rolls. There should be an ancient proverb that says "The large tree is removed at great cost at the end of the day because no one clipped the weed this morning".
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What concessions will they gain? Russia is one of the most powerful nuclear forces in the world. What have they gained from it? I thought I heard that they recently got a new batch of sanctions. Even if NK had powerful nukes, they would not be able to get anything. Why not? Because of mutually assured destruction. They know that if they attack another country, they are finished. Even if they managed to completely destroy the entire US, they would still have to worry about the nuclear subs somewhere in the oceans.

Also, I'm not sure that the market really fell mostly on NK threat. There are a number of retailers reporting next week and earnings expectations for them are likely low. We're also moving into one of the more historically volatile times of year.
 
tommcginnis said:
AND REMEMBER THE SPRATLEYS!! The U.S.N. has been doing laps around those puppies for the past 4-6 months (THANK GOD) to "show the flag" -- I think the official mission is "Maintain Freedom Of The Seas"... I had been worried about this for 3-4 years, and wondering why no one was making any noise --
-- big ol' presence in Africa aimed at Rare Earths
-- building a 'Chinese Navy' for the first time in recorded history -- WHY?!?!?
-- Oil lines and trading lines VITAL to their national posture as a world manufacturer --
how can that not be market-affecting and how can that not be *vital* news??? But nobody was taking it up. In the last year-18 months, that has changed, SOMEWHAT.

But if the goepolitics of the South China Sea (which, to be sure, is IMPORTANT to China, but not so close as the name South CHINA Sea implies) gets screwy, world markets will feel the hurt for an extended period. And yet, too, saying (with a straight face) that China's interests are improper or misplaced??? That's hard. Remember the Monroe Doctrine?

So, trading-wise, what's to be done? I've said bye-bye to BABA, I can tell you. And BIDU. And I keep my ear tuned to this whole business. I try not to put too much on the down-side of the market, in case any of this burbles up too fast.

Here's to Monday, y'all, and cool heads.
More...
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/12/china-uses-underwater-drones-in-south-china-sea.html
 
vanzandt said:
https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/12/china-uses-underwater-drones-in-south-china-sea.html
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And didn't they seize two USN drones last year? Am I remembering that right?
EEeeewwwwww-wwwwww!
We's best all be paying attention!
I mean, they *slowed*down* in GDP at one point, and dropped the world markets in a *big* way. If they got into a shooting incident with the USN? HOW much trade goes through there? Both FROM China and TO.
(And hence, they're desire to revive the overland Silk Road. Smart.
 
Question that I have, I suppose getting a bit off topic, is what country has the most technologically advanced military? I would include cyber-warfare capabilities in that category as well.
 
ET180 said:
Question that I have, I suppose getting a bit off topic, is what country has the most technologically advanced military? I would include cyber-warfare capabilities in that category as well.
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*rolls eyes* Micronesia. How's that for an answer?
 
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