Quote from S2007S:
I find it fascinating that there are more people buying at s$p 1050+ then there were when it was under 750, truly is fascinating.
Actually it's pretty simple:
1. 90% of traders fail. This means that 90% of traders are selling when they should be buying, and buying when they should be selling.
2. ET is representative of an average cross-section of traders.
3. Therefore, it is normal to assume that whenever you see a lot of threads on ET with people thinking that it's going to go in one direction, it's probably going to go in the other, since 90% of them probably fall into the distribution of unsuccessful traders.
It is amazing that this keeps happening even though really is incredibly simple to figure it out and just do the opposite. Human psychology is a very weird thing.
I have been warning people on this site about this type of rally ever since we hit 1000 in the S&P after that decline in the beginning of september. There are soooo many traders that just don't get how this game is being played right now. They keep trying to treat this like a normal market, and it's not. You have to say to yourself: "If I was the government with billons of dollars at my disposal, how would I set things up to keep this rally going as long as possible and keep screwing the most traders?".
This is the third or fourth short squeeze since early July, it's incredible. Rinse, wash, repeat.