Market Outlook
- Thread starter GrandSupercycle
- Start date
Gold / Silver intra bearish bias continues, following SP500 as usual.
SP500 break down continues.
SP500 break down continues.
A series of date stamped posts from Grand_Super_Cycle helping to illustrate how he has reacted to a clear bullish uptrend from early December through present. Note how staunchly he has fought the uptrend almost every week, insisting that the market will be dropping imminently.
Posted December 3rd, 2011 under the title "Xmas Rally is finished" :
Posted December 14, 2011 on this thread :
Posted December 22, 2011 on this thread :
Posted January 7th under title "2012 Market Crash" :
Posted January 6th, 2012, Grand_Super says the NOPEs :
Quote from EliteThink:
Uptrend from Oct low still in tact.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from bc1:
It just seems to me that equities appear a little more bullish than bearish with the start of the new year. Not sure there is much volume there but must be big money driving it for now. Eur/usd is down to 1.2788 and s&p is at 1281.00 so for two days now we aren't coupled to the euro or the dollar indexes. Decided we are short term bullish into next Friday and probably beyond so I traded some 1230/35 and 1235/40 bull put contracts on spx.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from EliteThink:
i agree, the decoupling is a major development.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
aka 'this time it's different'
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from EliteThink:
...eur/usd continues to fall and the spx is holding its ground.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
Posted January 12th, 2012 on this thread :
Posted recently under "The AAPL Crash" :
On the latter post, one might ask why its included. I add it to show that an increasing level of frustration for our resident permabear is making his predictions more desperate and absurd.
Posted December 3rd, 2011 under the title "Xmas Rally is finished" :
Posted December 14, 2011 on this thread :
Posted December 22, 2011 on this thread :
Posted January 7th under title "2012 Market Crash" :
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
May be worse than 2008 so be careful folks.
Posted January 6th, 2012, Grand_Super says the NOPEs :
Quote from EliteThink:
Uptrend from Oct low still in tact.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from bc1:
It just seems to me that equities appear a little more bullish than bearish with the start of the new year. Not sure there is much volume there but must be big money driving it for now. Eur/usd is down to 1.2788 and s&p is at 1281.00 so for two days now we aren't coupled to the euro or the dollar indexes. Decided we are short term bullish into next Friday and probably beyond so I traded some 1230/35 and 1235/40 bull put contracts on spx.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from EliteThink:
i agree, the decoupling is a major development.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
aka 'this time it's different'
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from EliteThink:
...eur/usd continues to fall and the spx is holding its ground.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
Posted January 12th, 2012 on this thread :
Posted recently under "The AAPL Crash" :
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
These type of moves are unsustainable and tend to end in tears . . .
This APPLE monthly chart won't be any different.
On the latter post, one might ask why its included. I add it to show that an increasing level of frustration for our resident permabear is making his predictions more desperate and absurd.
Feb 11 2012
Nine_Ender,
I never suggested shorting AAPL which is clear for all to see.
As mentioned before - you repeatedly conflate TA analysis with actual trades.
You do it intentionally but the question is why ?
You're an obsessive stalker and pathological liar as other ET members have also discovered.
Apart from being an embittered troll what is your motive for behaving this way ?
I should disclose that a friend who's a consultant psychologist is fascinated by your pathological trolling and cyber-stalking.
She blogs about this stuff and no longer waits for updates from myself, but now reads your posts directly so I can have you on ignore when I want.
So now she gives me updates on your conduct.
The psych wants to know if you've heard of mythomania - borderline personality disorder - histrionic personality disorder - if you've received psychotherapy as an adult - and if you're divorced how many marriages have you had ?
Can you help her out please ?
WARNING: Nine_Ender / bc1 / bhardy307 are stalkers and sockpuppets.
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3420767#post3420767
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=227449
Every time you post one of your usual bs pieces ( repeating yourself numerous times ), I will be reposting my last post of your calls AND/OR your August 12, 2010 calls.
A series of date stamped posts from Grand_Super_Cycle helping to illustrate how he has reacted to a clear bullish uptrend from early December through present. Note how staunchly he has fought the uptrend almost every week, insisting that the market will be dropping imminently.
Posted December 3rd, 2011 under the title "Xmas Rally is finished" :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
That's it folks.
When there are no more shorts to burn we know what happens don't we ?
Feel free to continue to scapegoat me for the market gyrations.
Last Dow cash 12,019
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted December 14, 2011 on this thread :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
Technical damage on daily charts of global indices is increasingly influential.
Reminder that SP500 monthly chart remains bearish and USDX weekly remains bullish so itâs only a matter of time until the market makes its move.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted December 22, 2011 on this thread :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
When the equity window dressing ceases the downtrend can resume.
The market seems to be taking its toll on certain 'traders' who display increasing amounts of frustration and aggression.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted January 7th under title "2012 Market Crash" :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
May be worse than 2008 so be careful folks.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted January 6th, 2012, Grand_Super says the NOPEs :
Quote from EliteThink:
Uptrend from Oct low still in tact.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from bc1:
It just seems to me that equities appear a little more bullish than bearish with the start of the new year. Not sure there is much volume there but must be big money driving it for now. Eur/usd is down to 1.2788 and s&p is at 1281.00 so for two days now we aren't coupled to the euro or the dollar indexes. Decided we are short term bullish into next Friday and probably beyond so I traded some 1230/35 and 1235/40 bull put contracts on spx.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from EliteThink:
i agree, the decoupling is a major development.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
aka 'this time it's different'
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from EliteThink:
...eur/usd continues to fall and the spx is holding its ground.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
Posted January 12th, 2012 on this thread :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
As mentioned yesterday, SP500 downleg starts.
SP500 daily chart still overextended risking another Wile E. Coyote scenario.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted recently under "The AAPL Crash" :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
These type of moves are unsustainable and tend to end in tears . . .
This APPLE monthly chart won't be any different.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
On the latter post, one might ask why its included. I add it to show that an increasing level of frustration for our resident permabear is making his predictions more desperate and absurd.
A series of date stamped posts from Grand_Super_Cycle helping to illustrate how he has reacted to a clear bullish uptrend from early December through present. Note how staunchly he has fought the uptrend almost every week, insisting that the market will be dropping imminently.
Posted December 3rd, 2011 under the title "Xmas Rally is finished" :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
That's it folks.
When there are no more shorts to burn we know what happens don't we ?
Feel free to continue to scapegoat me for the market gyrations.
Last Dow cash 12,019
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted December 14, 2011 on this thread :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
Technical damage on daily charts of global indices is increasingly influential.
Reminder that SP500 monthly chart remains bearish and USDX weekly remains bullish so itâs only a matter of time until the market makes its move.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted December 22, 2011 on this thread :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
When the equity window dressing ceases the downtrend can resume.
The market seems to be taking its toll on certain 'traders' who display increasing amounts of frustration and aggression.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted January 7th under title "2012 Market Crash" :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
May be worse than 2008 so be careful folks.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted January 6th, 2012, Grand_Super says the NOPEs :
Quote from EliteThink:
Uptrend from Oct low still in tact.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from bc1:
It just seems to me that equities appear a little more bullish than bearish with the start of the new year. Not sure there is much volume there but must be big money driving it for now. Eur/usd is down to 1.2788 and s&p is at 1281.00 so for two days now we aren't coupled to the euro or the dollar indexes. Decided we are short term bullish into next Friday and probably beyond so I traded some 1230/35 and 1235/40 bull put contracts on spx.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from EliteThink:
i agree, the decoupling is a major development.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
aka 'this time it's different'
NOPE.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from EliteThink:
...eur/usd continues to fall and the spx is holding its ground.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NOPE.
Posted January 12th, 2012 on this thread :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
As mentioned yesterday, SP500 downleg starts.
SP500 daily chart still overextended risking another Wile E. Coyote scenario.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted recently under "The AAPL Crash" :
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from GrandSupercycle:
These type of moves are unsustainable and tend to end in tears . . .
This APPLE monthly chart won't be any different.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
On the latter post, one might ask why its included. I add it to show that an increasing level of frustration for our resident permabear is making his predictions more desperate and absurd.
Here is a reminder of Grand's long term perspective. I will be reposting this periodically.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from Nine_Ender:
Memories of what you posted on August 15th, 2010 on your blog :
" DOW and SP500 weekly charts Fri Aug 13 inclusive.
The indexes continue to be pulled in opposing directions by the
buyers and sellers â as exemplified by choppy price action and
megaphone wedges. Daily charts are bearish to neutral.
Weekly charts are bearish to neutral. Monthly charts are bearish
to neutral.
As mentioned earlier, weekly and monthly charts have been topping
and basically going sideways since early May 2010. This topping
process will cease and increased selling pressure and more bearish
consensus should result in a more pronounced downtrend
developing.
EURUSD daily chart is bearish. Weekly chart is neutral. Monthly
chart is bearish to neutral. The opposite applies for the Dollar
Index so further USD upside is still expected.
CRUDE OIL daily chart is neutral to bearish. Weekly chart is
neutral. Monthly chart is neutral to bearish.
COPPER daily chart is bearish to neutral. Weekly chart is neutral.
Monthly chart is neutral. Copper long term charts have not been
bullish for some time â warning whatâs ahead for the global
economy.
Unfortunately the March 2009 lows will be breached as long term
trends remain bearish. "
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sound familiar ? When will March 2009 lows be breached ? 19 months later and where is this "more pronounced downturn" ?
What were those tops in August 2010 that you called in SPX and many commodities ? How far has the US$ rallied from then ?
We need to drop one hell of a long way for this guy to even break even on his trading ideas. Oh I know, he says they are just ideas and not actual "trades". The "trades" he quotes are usually forex where he lists prices after they move and never issues a closing trade in real time.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Quote from Nine_Ender:
Memories of what you posted on August 15th, 2010 on your blog :
" DOW and SP500 weekly charts Fri Aug 13 inclusive.
The indexes continue to be pulled in opposing directions by the
buyers and sellers â as exemplified by choppy price action and
megaphone wedges. Daily charts are bearish to neutral.
Weekly charts are bearish to neutral. Monthly charts are bearish
to neutral.
As mentioned earlier, weekly and monthly charts have been topping
and basically going sideways since early May 2010. This topping
process will cease and increased selling pressure and more bearish
consensus should result in a more pronounced downtrend
developing.
EURUSD daily chart is bearish. Weekly chart is neutral. Monthly
chart is bearish to neutral. The opposite applies for the Dollar
Index so further USD upside is still expected.
CRUDE OIL daily chart is neutral to bearish. Weekly chart is
neutral. Monthly chart is neutral to bearish.
COPPER daily chart is bearish to neutral. Weekly chart is neutral.
Monthly chart is neutral. Copper long term charts have not been
bullish for some time â warning whatâs ahead for the global
economy.
Unfortunately the March 2009 lows will be breached as long term
trends remain bearish. "
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sound familiar ? When will March 2009 lows be breached ? 19 months later and where is this "more pronounced downturn" ?
What were those tops in August 2010 that you called in SPX and many commodities ? How far has the US$ rallied from then ?
We need to drop one hell of a long way for this guy to even break even on his trading ideas. Oh I know, he says they are just ideas and not actual "trades". The "trades" he quotes are usually forex where he lists prices after they move and never issues a closing trade in real time.
Despite Greece hopium, SP500/DOW very overextended daily charts continue to break down risking waterfall sell off.
Gold choppy intra bias remains bearish.
Still short.
USDX intra bullish bias continues.
USDPLN still long
WARNING: Nine_Ender / bc1 / bhardy307 are stalkers and sockpuppets.
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3449102#post3449102
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3420767#post3420767
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=227449
Nine_Ender,
I never suggested shorting AAPL which is clear for all to see.
As mentioned before - you repeatedly conflate TA analysis with actual trades.
You do it intentionally but the question is why ?
You're an obsessive stalker and pathological liar as other ET members have also discovered.
Apart from being an embittered troll what is your motive for behaving this way ?
I should disclose that a friend who's a consultant psychologist is fascinated by your pathological trolling and cyber-stalking.
She blogs about this stuff and no longer waits for updates from myself, but now reads your posts directly so I can have you on ignore when I want.
So now she gives me updates on your conduct.
The psych wants to know if you've heard of mythomania - borderline personality disorder - histrionic personality disorder - if you've received psychotherapy as an adult - and if you're divorced how many marriages have you had ?
Can you help her out please ?
Gold choppy intra bias remains bearish.
Still short.
USDX intra bullish bias continues.
USDPLN still long
WARNING: Nine_Ender / bc1 / bhardy307 are stalkers and sockpuppets.
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3449102#post3449102
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3420767#post3420767
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=227449
Feb 11 2012
Nine_Ender,
I never suggested shorting AAPL which is clear for all to see.
As mentioned before - you repeatedly conflate TA analysis with actual trades.
You do it intentionally but the question is why ?
You're an obsessive stalker and pathological liar as other ET members have also discovered.
Apart from being an embittered troll what is your motive for behaving this way ?
I should disclose that a friend who's a consultant psychologist is fascinated by your pathological trolling and cyber-stalking.
She blogs about this stuff and no longer waits for updates from myself, but now reads your posts directly so I can have you on ignore when I want.
So now she gives me updates on your conduct.
The psych wants to know if you've heard of mythomania - borderline personality disorder - histrionic personality disorder - if you've received psychotherapy as an adult - and if you're divorced how many marriages have you had ?
Can you help her out please ?
How would I differentiate this current waterfall from the one you predicted on August 12, 2010 ? Oh Dear !!!
Despite Greece hopium spikes, SP500/DOW/NASDAQ overextended daily charts continue to break down and risk of waterfall sell off continues.
SP500/DOW/NASDAQ continues to lead with other markets following.
It has taken longer than expected to sell off but is getting closer.
When equity selling momentum does strengthen, FX signals will be more reliable.
WARNING: Nine_Ender / bc1 / bhardy307 are stalkers and sockpuppets.
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3449102#post3449102
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3420767#post3420767
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=227449
SP500/DOW/NASDAQ continues to lead with other markets following.
It has taken longer than expected to sell off but is getting closer.
When equity selling momentum does strengthen, FX signals will be more reliable.
WARNING: Nine_Ender / bc1 / bhardy307 are stalkers and sockpuppets.
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3449102#post3449102
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&postid=3420767#post3420767
http://www.elitetrader.com/vb/showthread.php?s=&threadid=227449