Manafort jury tampering by media

A dispassionate review of the situation would lead one to conclude irrational bias against Trump is also very significant risk.

Hence, we saw Judge Elias limit the information prosecutors could introduce about Mannafort's relationship with Trump.

Both these posts are correct. The public has no business knowing who the jurors are at this point, but the media has no obligation to no start looking, even if there are crazies on both sides. I have no doubt any competent defense lawyer would've tried to get as close to 50% Trumpers on that jury, even if the trial is about financial crimes. Whether they can detach themselves from der Fuhrer is entirely possible, but I remain the ever pessimist when it comes to Trumpklins.
 
A dispassionate review of the situation would lead one to conclude irrational bias against Trump is also very significant risk.
What about rational bias. I think that is a much greater risk to Trump. Neither should be a risk to manafort, however, unless Trump was doing manafort's tax returns for him.:D
 
High probability of a hung jury I would think. Not because the evidence isn't clear though. Oh well, just means Manafort will get more credit for time served. And more cost for tax payers to repeat the trial. What else should we expect when dealing with mafioso types. The entire Trump campaign from Sater, Cohen, Manafort, Back Channel Kushner, Gates, Papadopoulus, Scaramucci, Stone, Putin the nerve poison expert, Carter Page, and on down the roster through the fast talking, White Nationalist Bannon to pathological liar and pussy grabber Mr. Trump, are either Mafia types or plain old everyday liars, con artists, and crooks. In the case of Kushner and Trump it runs in the family.
 
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High probability of a hung jury I would think. Not because the evidence isn't clear though. Oh well, just means Manafort will get more credit for time served. And more cost for tax payers to repeat the trial. What else should we expect when dealing with mafioso types. The entire Trump campaign from Sater, Cohen, Manafort, Back Channel Kushner, Gates, Papadopoulus, Scaramucci, Stone, Putin the nerve poison expert, Carter Page, and on down the roster through the fast talking, White Nationalist Bannon to pathological liar and pussy grabber Mr. Trump, are either Mafia types or plain old everyday liars, con artists, and crooks. In the case of Kushner and Trump it runs in the family.

18 counts will take a while to get through by the jury. I would not be worried in the slightest if there is a reasonable doubt on the proof of some of these. Summarily saying guilty on all 18 would be bad as the jury is not being thorough.

Regardless of Gates, Manafort is caught rotten on the documents I'd expect. As a lawyer and political consultant he can't claim naive judgement.


https://www.cnbc.com/2018/08/15/what-charges-does-paul-manafort-face.html
"Subscribing to false income tax returns
Number of counts: 5
Maximum prison sentence per count: 3 years

In an indictment unveiled in February against Manafort and his former business partner, Rick Gates, the special counsel laid out what it described as a years-long "tax scheme" intended to lower Manafort's tax bills by hiding his income from U.S. authorities.

Manafort worked for years in the 2000s as a consultant for former Ukraine President Viktor Yanukovych's pro-Russian Party of Regions. The tens of millions of dollars he earned for this work were put in foreign accounts, and Manafort used that money to fund a lavish lifestyle primarily through international wire transfers, Mueller alleges.

Manafort is accused of failing to report this income on his income tax returns, and falsely claiming he had no authority over those foreign accounts.

Failing to file foreign bank account reports

Number of counts: 4
Maximum prison sentence per count: 5 years

From 2011 to 2014, Manafort allegedly failed to file foreign bank account reports, known as FBARs, with the Treasury Department to disclose his control over his overseas accounts.

Bank fraud and bank fraud conspiracy
Number of counts: 4 counts of bank fraud; 5 counts of bank fraud conspiracy
Maximum prison sentence per count: 30 years

During the trial, prosecutors alleged that Manafort resorted to bank fraud to obtain loans for himself after Yanukovych was deposed as the leader of Ukraine in 2014, which dried up Manafort's lucrative stream of income.

Manafort and Gates are accused of defrauding U.S. banks and other lenders by lying about Manafort's income, debt and the nature of his real estate properties.

Prosecutors also allege Manafort and Gates knowingly doctored financial documents. One of Manafort's accountants testified under immunity during the trial that she had been asked to misrepresent Manafort's income by Gates.

The indictment alleges Manafort falsely claimed that a New York City condo was "owner-occupied" instead of rented in order to get more money when applying for a $3.4 million mortgage in late 2015.

It also says Manafort defrauded another lender by falsely overstating the 2015 income of one his businesses by more than $4 million, among other charges.
"
 
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Some evidence did get in even though it might play to jury bias. Judge's weigh the evidence for its potential value vs potential for unfair prejudice.

When the Prosecution was attempting to bring in more evidence of Manaforts spending habits or more evidence of his association with Trump Judge Elias kept some of that evidence out.



https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/fre/rule_403


Rule 403. Excluding Relevant Evidence for Prejudice, Confusion, Waste of Time, or Other Reasons
The court may exclude relevant evidence if its probative value is substantially outweighed by a danger of one or more of the following: unfair prejudice, confusing the issues, misleading the jury, undue delay, wasting time, or needlessly presenting cumulative evidence.

Notes
(Pub. L. 93–595, §1, Jan. 2, 1975, 88 Stat. 1932; Apr. 26, 2011, eff. Dec. 1, 2011.)

Notes of Advisory Committee on Proposed Rules

The case law recognizes that certain circumstances call for the exclusion of evidence which is of unquestioned relevance. These circumstances entail risks which range all the way from inducing decision on a purely emotional basis, at one extreme, to nothing more harmful than merely wasting time, at the other extreme. Situations in this area call for balancing the probative value of and need for the evidence against the harm likely to result from its admission. Slough, Relevancy Unraveled, 5 Kan. L. Rev. 1, 12–15 (1956); Trautman, Logical or Legal Relevancy—A Conflict in Theory, 5 Van. L. Rev. 385, 392 (1952); McCormick §152, pp. 319–321. The rules which follow in this Article are concrete applications evolved for particular situations. However, they reflect the policies underlying the present rule, which is designed as a guide for the handling of situations for which no specific rules have been formulated.

Exclusion for risk of unfair prejudice, confusion of issues, misleading the jury, or waste of time, all find ample support in the authorities. “Unfair prejudice” within its context means an undue tendency to suggest decision on an improper basis, commonly, though not necessarily, an emotional one.

The rule does not enumerate surprise as a ground for exclusion, in this respect following Wigmore's view of the common law. 6 Wigmore §1849. Cf. McCormick §152, p. 320, n. 29, listing unfair surprise as a ground for exclusion but stating that it is usually “coupled with the danger of prejudice and confusion of issues.” While Uniform Rule 45 incorporates surprise as a ground and is followed in Kansas Code of Civil Procedure §60–445, surprise is not included in California Evidence Code §352 or New Jersey Rule 4, though both the latter otherwise substantially embody Uniform Rule 45. While it can scarcely be doubted that claims of unfair surprise may still be justified despite procedural requirements of notice and instrumentalities of discovery, the granting of a continuance is a more appropriate remedy than exclusion of the evidence. Tentative Recommendation and a Study Relating to the Uniform Rules of Evidence (Art. VI. Extrinsic Policies Affecting Admissibility), Cal. Law Revision Comm'n, Rep., Rec. & Studies, 612 (1964). Moreover, the impact of a rule excluding evidence on the ground of surprise would be difficult to estimate.

In reaching a decision whether to exclude on grounds of unfair prejudice, consideration should be given to the probable effectiveness or lack of effectiveness of a limiting instruction. See Rule 106 [now 105] and Advisory Committee's Note thereunder. The availability of other means of proof may also be an appropriate factor.


What about rational bias. I think that is a much greater risk to Trump. Neither should be a risk to manafort, however, unless Trump was doing manafort's tax returns for him.:D
 
If Mueller does not get Mannafort on at least a few counts, he and his team are terrible. It would strongly indicate they were unethical for going to trial in the first place. Or, they were unethical in going after charges they had no business prosecuting and got hit with and jury revolt.

Prosecutors are not supposed to lose trials. Almost everything is set up in their favor.
The one exception perhaps is when a charismatic defendant takes the stand and really seems innocent.

Manafort did not take the stand. I would expect plenty of guilty counts.
 
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That's a long list of crimes he's facing. One crime is missing though. Where da' collusion? Had the phony Russian collusion charges not been brought up, none of this ever sees the light of day. This whole thing is the very definition of a political hit job. If found guilty Trump should pardon him the following day.
 
That's a long list of crimes he's facing. One crime is missing though. Where da' collusion? Had the phony Russian collusion charges not been brought up, none of this ever sees the light of day. This whole thing is the very definition of a political hit job. If found guilty Trump should pardon him the following day.

How their minds don't work is still surprising some days.

blinkered-leading-the-blinkered-423x600.jpg
 
That's a long list of crimes he's facing. One crime is missing though. Where da' collusion? Had the phony Russian collusion charges not been brought up, none of this ever sees the light of day. This whole thing is the very definition of a political hit job. If found guilty Trump should pardon him the following day.
Chess is best played more than one move in advance.

https://www.nbcnews.com/think/opini...ay-not-matter-why-manafort-s-trial-ncna896511

Regardless, what is your argument here? That because Russian collusion was not alluded to, Manafort should be acquitted of his financial crimes? At the very least, where's your outrage at his illegal tax avoidance?
 
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