Quote from MacroEvent:
trade management is an art not a science when hand trading {e-manual
}.
automated trading is a whole different animal-----then you can backtest exit management probabilities and then forward test your system to see if it is acting as you desired--------making the one point a day for the size you trade.
two days in a row now my "e-manual" trading doubled my daily percentage target because i stayed in positions after the percentage profit target was passed--------i just had to manage the position according to what are the strengths or weaknesses of my system. of course we had two big sell days so during these days I was willing to maintain short positions to attempt additional profits because the probability was there for additional profits----we had a strong trend. this is why i saw it is an art not a science----you have to use your discretionary experience to make a call-----some work and some don't.
this week i had a 7.2 percent return on my account size from the hand trading system i use----this is way over my weekly goal-----so i did not stop at my target, discretion lead me to go for additional profits. when your system is really working well that is the time to ride it strong and not play too conservative---this way, at the end of a year you have the ability with the up and down periods to average a very solid return.
As you state, you determine your success by meeting the goals you set, i.e., something way under 7.2 percent on one account size?
What are some of the other alternatives for determining performance?
The 1 point per day per contract per some relationship value to capitalization has been chatted about.
1 point relative to some capital value.
When a person turns to consider trading effectiviness, what is the standard?
When a person turns to considering trading efficiency, what is the standard?
I like the trader's transition in skill utilization as measured by the % of the time that he is in the market. the past prints, logs, charts and their combo's that I have posted can give some examples of what may be possible in that transition.
Being able to be in the market seems to be a good measure of effectiveness and of efficiency as well.
On ES 1 point is 1/40 of the margin. the 7.2% a week looks like 3/40ths or about 3 point a week as way over your return on capital. Are you talking in terms of a little over a point a week on the ES in equivalents??
How many points does the ES travel in a day or in a week, speaking vectorially? What would the "noise" level of price movement be construed as? What units could be used to describe the price vector value? What if a person just wanted to extract capital out of the noise bandwith level? There is a lot of low energy money making sitting right there too.
the conversation in the prior posts is focused on almost a trivial amount of money compared to what is available. Must be hard for most people to see that it is there, even. That post on 1 point range day was very very bad sign of the limitations for understanding the market, apparently.