Making money using price action is impossible

jonbifg, just added to favorites, time wil tell, still this thread is like all the rest,4 the newbies reading this, if u dont know how to trade , save yor cash and daytrade til it works
 
Quote from joe4422:

My turning point as a trader came when I realised that I had no idea what was going to happen. That's when I began to only trade what I saw. I look for the exact same set ups every time, and every time I see them I pull the trigger. That's because I know that had this been done for the last 50 years I would have made money each and every month, and it's worked well for the last three years, and until I stop making money, I'll just keep doing it. The problem for most traders is that they're obsessed with catching the big moves. Every one is trying to get the same thing, so almost noone gets it. Just find something that works, bores the hell out of you, and just keep doing it.

+1

Must be in the name. :)

Joe.
 
Quote from Specterx:

How is "real" technical analysis different from price action? Oscillators, trendlines, S/R... these are all price action (or derivatives of PA in the case of oscillators).

Exactly. Price leads all indicators, you cannot have TA without price action.

What is price action? Price action is simply how price reacts at various s/r, breakout pts, moving avgs (for ppl who like to use indicators), etc.

I know how to read price action but I have to agree that its very hard to make money with price action alone, but I do mostly arbitrage so I could care less where price is going the next hr or tomorrow. :D
 
Quote from college_trad3r:

So out of this definition follows price action is real-time. This means there are no backtests possible and you have to believe people on their words you can make money with the magical guru-technique of "watching price action"



So you use technical analysis and money management to create a set-up and just price action for confirmation. Sounds to me you're making money not because of price action, but despite it.

If price action can only be spotted in real-time then break down the movement of the so called price action.

An example you have price at 900, it can move to 900.25 or 899.75 the two possiblities of the range. 900 is a support zone.
Those are the only two possibilities when price is 900.
Then you have the frequency at which it alternates between two prices like 900 and 900.25.
frequency and range are the only two possible attributes of price action, if you discard real-time volume.

However frequency and range do not predict movement of price in anyway. Let's take the example price goes from 902 to 900 fast, stalls at 900, and alternates fast between 900 and 899.75. The alternating to 900+ from 899.75 goes faster than vice versa. Does this mean price wants to go higher?

The answer is it doesn't mean anything. If it does go higher it's not because the frequency is faster, the alternating favors one direction, or because real-time volume increases only when the alternating goes higher on a support. It only goes higher because of the support zone.

Technical analysis trumphs price action, and you know it.:cool:

Thats tape reading, not price action.
 
Quote from mike007:

What does that have to do with anything? It is clear that you have no idea what you are talking about. Price action is the chart. It is higher highs, lower lows and so on. It is the patterns that are setup such as triangles, flags, etc.... These patterns give you clear risk/reward points that no TA indicator could ever give. Based on a triangle, I can tell you my exact entry, stop, and target. You cannot receive this information based on RSI or MACD that TA people use.

Price action is not all "real time" These patterns or different market structures can be based on all timeframes and can have massive patterns ranging for years. I have no clue that you are talking about.

but price action is real-time, patterns is just technical analysis that existed since the 1900 when graham traded using them

Quote from NoDoji:

Price only goes higher when more people want to buy than want to sell. This moves the price higher as buyers take the offer and sellers realize they may be able to get a better price and ask more. This is "price action" and it leaves behind a footprint in the form of price bars.

The footprints the price action leaves behind may look exactly like the footprints you saw last time you encountered a bull. "Hey, I've seen these footprints before! There's a bull up ahead!" you say. And you take the offer because the bull appears to be running hard and you want to catch it and run with it.

Or you wait for the bull to come back toward you instead of chasing it because you've seen those bulls circle back around a lot, coming a little closer and then you grab it and go as it charges ahead again.

TA allows you to recognize things that crowds do often again and again and price action confirms that it's happening yet again, hey ho let's go!

You're telling me to buy a pullback? :confused: that makes sense, but how do I make money with that

Quote from jonbig04:

lol, I must be a super hero then since I'm doing the "impossible". I keep a journal online as many PA traders do. Anywith with the slightest ambition could easily look them up. Some of the journals, including mine, call trades in foresight for the next day as well as posting charts at the end of the day.

Sorry, but you have to understand how funny this sounds to those of us who do it every day. I wish you luck, but you may want to reconsider :)

how you can call price action the day before is a mystery to me. I don't know how people keep attributing mystical properties to price action, like foretelling the future, it's not the "holy" grail!:p
 
Quote from college_trad3r:

but price action is real-time, patterns is just technical analysis that existed since the 1900 when graham traded using them



You're telling me to buy a pullback? :confused: that makes sense, but how do I make money with that



how you can call price action the day before is a mystery to me. I don't know how people keep attributing mystical properties to price action, like foretelling the future, it's not the "holy" grail!:p


the "holy grail" is YOU and PA

what do you think it is-- a stochastic or a macd

all indicators move bec. price moves

price doesn't move because the indicators are moving

You dont "call" PA, you trade PA

you are still thinking about what "you" think the market is going to do

you need to do what the market is doing.

how do you do that?

by taking advantage of other traders emotions of course
 
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