Hi all,
heated debate i see and i have something to say but a big caveat first. i'm no expert on JHM 2.0. i've tried learning it a while ago but gave up when i saw too many inconsistencies.
my main objection is with the binary definition of JHM.
in a binary closed system there is no room for interpretation . either something is or it isn't.
all factors are known and it is finite in nature. meaning all permutations have been accounted for and the system can be followed as a recipe in a cook book. while it is awesome to know how things came to be it is not necessary to understand the logic in order to be successful in implementing the system.
here are some examples :
using a calculator vs doing calculations by hand gets to the same result.
understanding chemical interactions vs following a chemist step by step instructions gets the same result.
using the black&scholes preprogrammed formula to price options vs knowing the logic behind it
using the premium from index arb's site vs calculating it yourself etc etc..........
i have not found JHM to be strictly binary as being demonstrated by ANY of the threads.
there are MANY things that have been proven by myself to be SUBJECTIVE.some examples :
when does a lateral end ? : 2 closes, 1 close, a breach of high/low boundary, ibgs blah blah. using any one method of these is not binary since the lateral in hindsight can continue/or not.
B2B2R2B is always followed by R2R2B2R right? except for when there's a new pt 3 of course .
the FTT : anyone who has been around for a bit can cite multiple examples where not all channels end in ftt, and multiple ftts are sometimes present before a change in trend takes place.
the DEGAP saga : if degapping was not done before 2010 i guess Jack and Spyder were just lucky every day on the open when they didn't degap using the wrong carryover for many years.
there is a lot of evidence to the contrary(of the system being binary) mainly the successful people who trade it vs the people who are trying to learn it are vastly in the minority.
here is MY PERSONAL EXPERIENCE :
i have found overarching concepts to be more robust and true. examples : markets move in a fractal way, volume leads price, the dominant side will ALWAYS have more volume.
i have implemented the above into a set of strict rules and i am very consistent in applying them.
i don't get hung up on the market HAS TO do this NOW.... if it doesn't i realize i made a mistake and move on.
sometimes using market orders i get crappy executions cause the market is moving too fast but such is life.
shocking but i have some losing days too
i know this is not what people want to hear. everyone would love to extract 3 times the daily range in an effortless manner.
here is what you should take away from my post :
we all have a brain and should use it to test claims and prove hypothesis . if something seems illogical then question it.
all the above are my claims and as such you should feel free to examine them for yourself.
in trading if not applying things in a consistent manner you are just asking for trouble. consistency breeds confidence and without it you will be second guessing yourself all the time
Lastly I just want to clarify that I have made 2 claims here.
1) Jack’s method has not proven to be binary by any stretch. I like to view it as a mixture of 80/20(science/art)
2) If any system is binary and finite in nature one need not know how it came to be in order to implement it successfully
Back to my corner…..