Axiom #3: At major turning points the CROWD=THRONG is always wrong, no exceptions.
We are there or super close, not in 2014, 2015, 2016 but yes, in 2017
The no-exceptions feature is always plagued with peril as there are always exceptions - not with Axiom#3 though. This one stands tall.
When taxi drivers, bellboys, and regular 50k/yr stiffs are telling me, "I bought stocks because they will never go down again" = 100% all in = who's left to buy = where's the fuel going to come from to go to Las Vegas?
Then quietly, without a sound, while nobody's watching, like LOVE, the TURN comes softly and without fanfare - and thus far the driver of the TURN, has always saluted me as he/she shoots past my STOP, with the whisper, "you and only you may go in peace"
Therefore to me its a given that we are at just such a juncture where 100% or thereabouts are all IN. But what if this time, the gauge gets stuck at 100% because the cats are now selling everything they own and putting it in stocks? Surely this will delay the turn
That's why I never want to call a TREND reversed until my STOP is taken out.
We are there or super close, not in 2014, 2015, 2016 but yes, in 2017
The no-exceptions feature is always plagued with peril as there are always exceptions - not with Axiom#3 though. This one stands tall.
When taxi drivers, bellboys, and regular 50k/yr stiffs are telling me, "I bought stocks because they will never go down again" = 100% all in = who's left to buy = where's the fuel going to come from to go to Las Vegas?
Then quietly, without a sound, while nobody's watching, like LOVE, the TURN comes softly and without fanfare - and thus far the driver of the TURN, has always saluted me as he/she shoots past my STOP, with the whisper, "you and only you may go in peace"
Therefore to me its a given that we are at just such a juncture where 100% or thereabouts are all IN. But what if this time, the gauge gets stuck at 100% because the cats are now selling everything they own and putting it in stocks? Surely this will delay the turn
That's why I never want to call a TREND reversed until my STOP is taken out.
Even for an elite trader the original concept accomplishment for why one got into trading in the first place remains elusive and/or evanescent. But not for Joe. 