I'm bullish.. but this thread is bull shit... too many underscoring and colored fonts.
The broad market moves on the direction of major economic and world wide risk factors. Not because a few lines say so... and I'm fully aware of TA vs non-TA believers. I actually do believe a bit in TA, mainly because it's selffulfilling.
When risk factors increase... trends are broken... and today, the uncertainty lies in NKorea, Trumps presidency (mainly whether it will last), China's financial system.
And the only thing currently holding the markets up, is the fragile prospect of higher earnings due to a slow and steady pick-up of US and European economy.
So... when either the economy is starting to point sideways or down... or NK/China/Trump risk will increase or blow up... that's the trigger for a bear market....
EDIT... actually... I'm not so bullish anymore... it's fading....
The broad market moves on the direction of major economic and world wide risk factors. Not because a few lines say so... and I'm fully aware of TA vs non-TA believers. I actually do believe a bit in TA, mainly because it's selffulfilling.
When risk factors increase... trends are broken... and today, the uncertainty lies in NKorea, Trumps presidency (mainly whether it will last), China's financial system.
And the only thing currently holding the markets up, is the fragile prospect of higher earnings due to a slow and steady pick-up of US and European economy.
So... when either the economy is starting to point sideways or down... or NK/China/Trump risk will increase or blow up... that's the trigger for a bear market....
EDIT... actually... I'm not so bullish anymore... it's fading....
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Why? So what if Dow dies tomorrow, I said to some of these cats? There is absolutely no way it would, even on the 700-point decline on the 1st day of TREND reversal, neglect to hand my STOP my earned spoils of war, while all the while my fellow Californians are in a bull-market in food stamps, which as the Dow breaks below the 200-day moving average will go into an acceleration mode not seen even thru' the Great Depression.