Nope----looks like a strong likelihood that my analysis will turn out to be correct---
Herd Immunity May Be Closer Than You Think
Antibody tests could significantly underestimate the number of novel coronavirus infections.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/herd-immunity-may-be-closer-than-you-think-11594076237
Some early assumptions about Covid-19 no longer add up—and that could be good news for the future progress of the virus. There are reasons to think the novel coronavirus began spreading earlier than previously understood, raising the possibility that herd immunity is closer than we think.
Herd immunity may not be achievable in fight against coronavirus
By
Edmund DeMarche | Fox News
Video
Dr. Ramin Oskoui on how long protection from a potential coronavirus vaccine might last
Dr. Anthony Fauci suggests a coronavirus vaccine might require a booster shot to continue its protection; reaction from cardiologist Dr. Ramin Oskoui, CEO of Foxhall Cardiology.
A recent study in Spain showed that only five percent of the population there have antibodies to ward off the coronavirus despite the prevalence of the disease in the country where there have been nearly 30,000 deaths.
HERE'S HOW LONG YOU MAY HAVE TO WEAR MASK
Danny Altmann, a professor of immunology at Imperial College London,
told CNBC that it is common to see towns with only 10 to 15 percent immunity. He said it seems that immunity could “wane” in people after a few months.
TEXAS' CORONAVIRUS HOSPITALIZATIONS HIT NEW DAILY HIGH AS TOTAL CASES TOP 200,000
“It’s a very deceitful virus,” he said. “And immunity to it is very confusing and rather short-lived.”
CORONAVIRUS IMMUNITY CAN BE 'SHORT-LIVED,' EXPERT WARNS
The BBC
reported that the study in Spain was one of the largest of its kind and included more than 60,000 people. Health officials have said the only chance the world has at getting back to normal would be a cure, proven vaccine or herd immunity.
The report, which was published in the Lancet, reportedly said, “Despite the high impact of COVID-19 in Spain, prevalence estimates remain low and are clearly insufficient to provide her immunity.”
As Altmann said, it seems that herd immunity is unpredictable.
GET THE FOX NEWS APP
A few weeks ago, the Lombardy region in Italy appeared to be on track to obtain herd immunity. Health officials said this week that of the nearly 10,000 residents in the city of Bergamo who had blood tests done between April 23 and June 3, about 57 percent had antibodies, indicating they had come into contact with the virus.
Fox News' Lucia I. Suarez Sang contributed to this report 
