Machines could make half of humans unemployed in 30 years

O

OddTrader

" Robots could increasingly replace people in workplaces, according to leading computer scientist Moshe Vardi, who told the AAAS that 50 per cent of jobs will be taken by machines by 2050 "
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Will a robot take YOUR job?

Humanity facing 'its greatest challenge ever' as machines are set to make HALF the world unemployed in just 30 years

* Top scientist Moshe Vardi warned robots will take 50% jobs by 2050
* The Houston professor's bleak warning came at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) this week
* Last year Stephen Hawking made a similarly bleak prediction
* They both warned it marks humanity's worst existential crisis of all time

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...alf-humans-unemployed-30-years-scientist.html

15 February 2016


More than half of the human race could be unemployed in 30 years time as job vacancies are filled by machines, a leading computer science has predicted.

A life of leisure could be the norm for a majority of people in decades to come, according to Moshe Vardi from Rice University in Houston, Texas.

'We are approaching a time when machines will be able to outperform humans at almost any task,' Professor Vardi told the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS).

'I believe that society needs to confront this question before it is upon us: if machines are capable of doing almost any work humans can do, what will humans do?'


His bleak prediction comes just a year after Stephen Hawking said artificial intelligence 'could spell the end of the human race'.

Prof Vardi mused on what the average human's life will be like by 2050.

'A typical answer is that if machines will do all our work, we will be free to pursue leisure activities.

'I do not find this a promising future, as I do not find the prospect of leisure-only life appealing. I believe that work is essential to human well-being.'

He warned 'humanity is about to face perhaps its greatest challenge ever' as we head to a global rate of more than 50 per cent unemployment.

'Humanity is about to face perhaps its greatest challenge ever, which is finding meaning in life after the end of "in the sweat of thy face shalt thou eat bread".

'We need to rise to the occasion and meet this challenge.'

His presentation was entitled Smart Robots And Their Impact On Society.

Prof Vardi argued that the pace of progress in artificial intelligence was increasing, even as the same technology was eliminating growing numbers of middle-class 'white collar' jobs and driving up income inequality.

And he said fear of self-flying drones is misplaced - the real menace is the machine that can outwit and outmaneuver a human employee.

His words came as figures revealed robots were ordered and shipped into North America at a record-breaking rate last year.

While the automotive industry accounts for the bulk of growth, semiconductors and electronics also spiked in the use of robotics.

Now, there are an estimated 260,000 robots working in factories across the continent – but despite fears of robots stealing human jobs, the unemployment rate in the U.S. has dropped to the lowest figure in almost a decade.

According to Robotic Industries Association (RIA), North American companies ordered 31,464 robots, valued at $1.8 billion in 2015. This marked a 14 percent increase in such units.

The number of robots shipped to the continent grew by 10 percent, with 28,049 units worth $1.6 billion coming in.

Recent estimates by the World Economic Forum (WEF), assume a total loss of 7.1 million jobs, offset by a gain of 2 million new positions.

For 15 countries, this means a net loss of 5.1 million jobs over the next five years.

While men will see approximately one job gained for every three lost over the next five years, women face more than five jobs lost for every one gained.
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Correct. I am starting to believe some conspiracy theorists that are convinced that the elite has set course to drastically reduce world population.
 
Oh man, jobs. That's all these people know. They can't imagine life without a job. You can't talk sense to them because they can't get out of that job box. I don't know how I would find out, but my guess is most humans don't have a job. So let's start there. And then there are entrepreneurs who not only have no job but despise any job. So at least for most people world wide, they have a life which doesn't involve a time clock and a paycheck.

But now work, toil? A man sits at a desk all his life then he retires. Then he REALLY works. Works out more like it so he doesn't die.

But beyond that, what would we do? I assume some benevolent leader would be in charge. Why benevolent? What would be the point of screwing anybody out of anything, you could just have the machine make it for you. Somebody to run the machines and somebody to monitor flow of goods and needs of the humans.

Then what? Probably no peace and extreme competition. What else would there be but competition and spectators? Make music? Depends on skill level of the music machine. He could probably play anything I can think of. I could just hear it,hum it in my heart/head and he would be simultaneously playing it back to me. Yeah, ok, I'm ready. I'd give you my job but I can't stand the sight of them. I had one once. They are horrible.
 
java said:
Oh man, jobs. That's all these people know. They can't imagine life without a job. You can't talk sense to them because they can't get out of that job box. I don't know how I would find out, but my guess is most humans don't have a job. So let's start there. And then there are entrepreneurs who not only have no job but despise any job. So at least for most people world wide, they have a life which doesn't involve a time clock and a paycheck.

But now work, toil? A man sits at a desk all his life then he retires. Then he REALLY works. Works out more like it so he doesn't die.

But beyond that, what would we do? I assume some benevolent leader would be in charge. Why benevolent? What would be the point of screwing anybody out of anything, you could just have the machine make it for you. Somebody to run the machines and somebody to monitor flow of goods and needs of the humans.

Then what? Probably no peace and extreme competition. What else would there be but competition and spectators? Make music? Depends on skill level of the music machine. He could probably play anything I can think of. I could just hear it,hum it in my heart/head and he would be simultaneously playing it back to me. Yeah, ok, I'm ready. I'd give you my job but I can't stand the sight of them. I had one once. They are horrible.
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Once the markets are predictible, it will usher in the golden age of fortunism. The basic economic premise of meeting unlimited needs with limited resources will reverse to managing unlimited resources to limited needs. Games of chance will be created via random number generation and everyone WILL play----


DSG 1997
 
Issac Asimov wrote a short sci fi story about this. They had eliminated friction and their machines ran forever. Until one day the conveyor belt stopped running.
 
Southampton said:
Once the markets are predictible, it will usher in the golden age of fortunism. The basic economic premise of meeting unlimited needs with limited resources will reverse to managing unlimited resources to limited needs. Games of chance will be created via random number generation and everyone WILL play----


DSG 1997
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What will be the prize for winning? They will have to withhold just to create need to play.
 
very informative and interesting post.
This is starting to put in context the "universal income" thing being tested in some scandinavian countries.
 
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