Low risk way to make a 66% return (unleveraged) in 2012
- Thread starter Ghost of Cutten
- Start date
I don't think you know what a brokered convention is. If neither candidate has enough delegates to secure the nomination, then all existing delegates can pull their support and throw them behind a new candidate, one who is NOT currently in the race. It's called brokered because essentially that is what they are doing, they are dealing their delegates. Obviously if this were to happen, they would be selecting a much more stronger candidate then what they had before. That is a very real possibility.
Personally I think anyone but Santorum would be better as running mate for Romney. Everyone outside the Republican party and Stormfront HATES Santorum with a passion (so do even some Republicans - e.g. the ones that actually care about liberty, pretty much any under 30 who aren't total bigots etc). People who would normally shrug and not bother voting in an Obama/Romney contest will turn out to vote Dem in droves just to stop Santorum getting one heartbeat away from the presidency.
I love how within a few minutes of this post, I get replies saying things like there might be a brokered ticket, as if I just wager substantial sums on a whim without doing thorough research and preparation, and hadn't already anticipated that factor*. Santorum being running mate would be a huge boost for my bet, and will keep my pantry stocked with the finest meats and cheeses for several months at least.
N.B. * remember I was already accumulating an Obama position back when he was under 50% and everyone was writing off his chances. Not to mention when I profitably bet on him for 2008 when he got down to 9:1 odds at one point.
I don't think politics is your strong suit. I'm no fan of Santorum but it was the "democrats" that elected him in PA. He gets far more support from the left then the right with the exception of the evangelical vote. Anyway, it's a terrible trade. You want to lock up your capital for 7 months to make a binary bet that you could make the day before the election? I would like to bet on the over/under on your IQ.
But there is no stronger candidate - a strong candidate would have already noticed the appalling weakness of the current motley crew, and would have stood already (and be racing clearly ahead in the polls). Ron Paul is the only credible alternative, and even his own party think he is too extreme.
The Republicans are a busted flush for the foreseeable future.
Wrong. The benefit of waiting is one, not having to raise 50 to 100 million dollars to win a primary. And two, not giving the democrats a chance to do research and dig up dirt on you. And three, not having to have the other 4 guys beat the shit out of you during the next 25 debates. It's a very smart move. But it's a gamble obviously because your only play is of no one gets enough delegates. But "if" that happens, mark my words, that will change everything. Because one of those stronger guys will be able to literally walk in the convention and walk away with the nomination without spending a dollar or getting attacked in the debates.
