The IV of an option is the "spread" -- higher spread is driven by liquidity premia and uncertainty around the future. So higher/lower IV represents high/low liquidity + high/low uncertainty.
If a company reports earnings in the next month, and the option contract expires after the earnings announcement date, you will see it's IV is much higher than the current month's IV (+/- liquidity effect).
This is not a signal of direction, it is a signal that something is happening to the underlying. You can then analyze the situation and decide how to play it.
If a company reports earnings in the next month, and the option contract expires after the earnings announcement date, you will see it's IV is much higher than the current month's IV (+/- liquidity effect).
This is not a signal of direction, it is a signal that something is happening to the underlying. You can then analyze the situation and decide how to play it.