Looks like the GOP Senate races are not going well

Incredible that in the swing states they ran Vance (OH), Oz (PA), Masters (AZ), and Walker (GA). They will probably win OH, because it is a lean Republican state, but those are 4 awful candidates for the most important races. Bolduc (NH) was also a horrible choice. We see Vance, Masters, Walker, and Bolduc drastically behind the gubernatorial candidate from their own party. The only reason Oz isn't behind in that category is the PA Republican gubernatorial candidate is also a complete disaster. The only decent winnable pick Republicans made for Senate was Laxalt (NV). He's got a good chance to win that seat. Budd (NC) wasn't awful, but not great. Likely to win given the environment and the fact that NC leans red. O'Dea (CO) was probably their best pick, but it looks like CO is not much of a swing state anymore. My guess is that the Senate will stay 50-50 with the Dems holding GA, flipping PA, and losing NV. Johnson (WI) is the worst incumbent so it's possible the Dems could flip that one. If they get to 52 it will probably mean they held their current seats and added PA+WI. I think the probability of them winning OH or NC is pretty low and the odds of taking out Rubio (FL) is close to 0.
 
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TreeFrogTrader said:
Somewhat to Trump's point, Hershel Walker, for example has been wayyyyyyyyyy down in the polls and admittedly has limited political skills as a newcomer- but now he is behind but only by about 5 points or so. I doubt that he will win, but it might help if the RNC had actually helped him rather than written him off.

And Oz is not much of a candidate but look at what he is running against for crisesake. Some Cretan who is one step away from the emergency room and always looks like he is wandering around the locker room with his hoodie and shorts and his gym bag looking for his jock strap. The RNC could actually work to help out a little.

Mitch is like a democrat. He does not want to see any pro-Trump senators elected.
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Your opinion on whether the Senate flips now that we're closer to the election?
 
vanzandt said:
That's it lol?
Well I guess that's concise enough.
Albeit I did want to get your take on how Herschel and Oz look now.
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Herschel is a disaster as a candidate. On top of that Mitch has undermined him because he Hershel is pro-Trump and Mitch knows he will not vote for Mitch as Majority/minority leader and that is all the Mitch cares about.

Oz is a scammy, inauthentic type of candidate but the dems in PA have made it clear that even though their candidate is a deadbeat and a total roadkill that they are going to show up to vote for anything that has a D after its name. And probably they will do that. As we know from the elections of Biden and Kamala that being able to function is not really a consideration for many dems.

If inflation surges even more and gas goes surges again that might change the picture but even so, if that happens, Biden will just announce some mega- handout right before the election and the dems will eat it right up.

Dems gained some ground on the House for a few weeks. That has pretty much dissipated and it back to looking like little or no chance for them there. They are choosing to crank up Jan 6 over and over and think that is there winning card. It is mostly a dem beltway obsession - not a kitchen table issue.
 
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TreeFrogTrader said:
Herschel is a disaster as a candidate. On top of that Mitch has undermined him because he Hershel is pro-Trump and Mitch knows he will not vote for Mitch as Majority/minority leader and that is all the Mitch cares about.

Oz is a scammy, inauthentic type of candidate but the dems in PA have made it clear that even though their candidate is a deadbeat and a total roadkill that they are going to show up to vote for anything that has a D after its name. And probably they will do that. As we know from the elections of Biden and Kamala that being able to function is not really a consideration for many dems.

If inflation surges even more and gas goes surges again that might change the picture but even so, if that happens, Biden will just announce some mega- handout right before the election and the dems will eat it right up.

Dems gained some ground on the House for a few weeks. That has pretty much dissipated and it back to looking like little or no chance for them there. They are choosing to crank up Jan 6 over and over and think that is there winning card. It is mostly a dem beltway obsession - not a kitchen table issue.
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Hmmm. Ok good. Thnx.

I'm gonna make a prediction though... I think both will win.
We'll see.
Edit: Oz will be close, but I'm pretty sure Herschel's gonna take it.
 
vanzandt said:
Hmmm. Ok good. Thnx.

I'm gonna make a prediction though... I think both will win.
We'll see.
Edit: Oz will be close, but I'm pretty sure Herschel's gonna take it.
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lol Herschel loses by 5 handles. Fetterman wins by 10.
 
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