Quote from Dr. Zhivodka:
The problem with quoting the records of some of these guys is that the commodity markets were wholly different in the mid '70's from what they have been up until 2001-02.
Massive fortunes were made during the "WIN" years and before that during the Nixon price control years by simple trend following methods.
It has been a twenty-year drought.
However, those years appear to be back.
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Well, if YOU READ the entire post, then you would see my caveat that every strategy has up and down cycles. So, you gotta win big during WIN years and learned your craft then on crappy years you would just make steady gains(not spectacular gains).
That's the SAME problem quoting the super "genius" fund managers of the 90s. Where are they now? Every markets go through cycles.
It seems like everyone need some kind of bull markets to get those phenomenal stories. Either bull market in commodities of the 70s, or superbull market in equities of the 90s-2000.
But Bruce Kovner is #1 CTA now even post 70s commodities bull. Warren Buffet is still good after 30+yrs.
So, it's up to the individual I guess..
Maybe we'll get a 20yrs "drought" in the equities market after the superbull markets of the 90s died down. I know we are in a super rally mode now. But for how long? Then most funds will suffer what commodities suffered in the last 20yrs - range bound choppy markets.