Quote from SunTree:
I'll start off.
1. One of the factors of developing a trading model is to extract a certain tendency of the market. Simply/Obvious, right? Trying to find a "System of Everything" will not work. Look at Opening Range Breakout, there is a definite fundamental reasoning for it. The Equities market has a set time it opens and closes, and there a tendency in the market which market volume is high during these times. You extract this tendency and apply it using ORB as a way to be profitable.
Markets change but there are specific conditions that occur all the time (like I mentioned Open/Closing Bell) and you identify, extract, apply and etc. to develop a trading system.
(This is just one approach, not all systems are like this)
I see what you are saying. Good knowledge of market structure is needed
2. My assumption tells me that you are compromising your lack of system development skills by going into discretionary trading.
Yes, system development did not produce good results, and the reasons for it are lack of skills/experience/luck(?). I had to explore (semi) discretionary trading as well and not be ignorant of it.
3. There is no easy way of making money. If it's better to be in front of the computer all day, you should be doing it. I have a bunch of Automated Systems but I do more work than a discretionary trader (+8 hours work).
4. You trade the market. The market doesn't care who you are. So my suggestion is to stop thinking, "I want to trade this way"... You trade and make money from what the market gives you.
Good points.
Interesting replies...
Honestly, I was suspecting that you were one of those "heard it all" but "not done at all" type in ET. Of course, you're not competent but I can see you've done some ground work.
I replied because of all the BS. replies you got. (Everyone starts as newb. but some don't get it... *sad*)
Anyways, I think you have the "basic" background and skills to apply for what you desire. I wouldn't limit myself to trade automation because a lot of discretionary traders aren't so logical. They use the conditional "feel" to describe their trading. (most will hate the control structure of if-then / for... discretionary trading is very very very very very very illogical... or should I say "rational" with their decision processing)
You can be doing (offering) 2 things at first. The testing capability of their verbal ideas (try confirming your ideas... they won't get it even if you use UML or diagrams) and developing "tools" to simplify their trading. (When they see your detailed test results, they will complain... and be in denial... I can't and don't duplicate my own discretion even if I can program... it's just different)
Finally...
I wouldn't find a mentor in ET, as-is. Try searching or start up a thread for a ET meeting. Even if they're not your mentor, meeting a trader in person and asking questions are a lot more significant than all the posts in a BB. ET should be an opportunity, not a definition.
In person, people are a lot more "normal" than what they post. Don't offer any $$$ or cash-back stuff. If they ask, be warned, they are under-capitalized. You have the skills (and the time), that's what you offer.
(I'm a lot more pleasant in person... Chicagoans... back me up...
)Good luck. Everyone goes through tough times.
