Look Ma, no indicators!!

Quote from VictorS:

As the originator of this thread, "man, this has gone totally bad."

Thanks to those who contributed and made suggestions it's been very infromative and useful.

You're right. Let's get back on topic, myself included. I say trader "A" can trade using price action only. Trader "B" can use indicators. Trader "C" employs/combines both, and perhaps has the most success.

Victor, what method do you use? I've been putting up some indicators lately and am finding that patience and good observation can bring about some really good trades.
 
Quote from BSAM:

You're right. Let's get back on topic, myself included. I say trader "A" can trade using price action only. Trader "B" can use indicators. Trader "C" employs/combines both, and perhaps has the most success.

Victor, what method do you use? I've been putting up some indicators lately and am finding that patience and good observation can bring about some really good trades.

I have always used indicators. However, I now understand how others trade without them. To be honest, looking at things without indicators has given me a very clear picture of what is going on with price.
 
Quote from Grob109:



This is not true for me at all. TA and FA are requirements for staying in the market at all times. People who spent time have to focus on making money all that time. You cannot recover lost time. It is unilaterally spent all the time. And it is non recoverable. Effectiveness and efficiency are new to you at this point. thses are two terms associated which spending time. The market is disgorging money like a cement mixer unloading during the open hours of the market. You do what you do inconsideration of a few minutes of each day. the minutes you are entering and the minutes you are exiting. In between, you are generally missing the boat and using a substitute for what you could learn to do. You waste time as the cement mixer is unloading money into other peoples accounts. you trade like a guy with a wheelbarrow. I trade like a guy who fills forms with concrete. All the time the concrete truck is unloading, it is done in the forms I have available for the whole load. You are picking up a wheelbarrow load once in a while and putting it in your equity curve. have you noticed that there is concrete all over the ground between your wheeling loads? The market does not turn off when you sideline. It keeps dumping money in the forms that I have build using a "hold" and "reverse" strategy.

Money management is necessary as well but it means nothing without good timing.

I have a big surprise for you. Money management has nothing to do with the use of your time and when you take the actions that you do. I am illustrating to you other sets of words around the market myth you believe makes of for trial and error learning approaches. Money management occurs as a practise that requires but one thing: Don't be in the market when you do not know what is going on. Beginners begin with least money, only trade when they know what is going on. the more you know what is going on, the more time you are allowed to spend making money. I am glad you exit; it is definitely a time when you do not know what is going on. Loo at your equity curve, it is not rising in slope continually ans you spend more time in the market. Two current difficulties with effectiveness for your and with efficiency for you.

to get out of the place where you are and to consider reading what the market tells by indicators and charting and fundamentals, you have to go through a total overhaul. That is not possible and is not going to happen. There was a fork in the road for you way back when and you took the wrong fork.

You talk about "edge trading" as if it was some sort of silly hocus pocus. Try using money management on roulette or casino craps or any other endeavor where you demonstrably don't have an edge, and see how long it takes you to go broke. If you have a successful trading strategy that doesn't boil down to dumb luck, you have an edge. It's not a dirty word.

Were effectiveness and efficiency the measures of what quality trading is, then edges would be absent from the running. People who edge trade missed the boat you as you have.

the objective is to use al he time available to continually extract money from the market. It is not difficult to imagine that it requires help of charts and indicators to determine "when to hold 'em and when to reverse 'em" as Kenny Rodgerswould say. Kenny didn't say "when to enter and when the exit". The way money is made, big time, in the markets is to be in the market all the time and to not "spend" time on the sidelines. what you now think of as an exit, could be, but it isn't, a place to continue to make a different kind of money. Getting far away from considerations of losing is what I have put on the table for you. For your life, it is out of reach for you by your choices, and, therefore, my views are repungant to you.


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Quote from Grob109:

Indicators invariably provide information about the market's preformance and activity. They are primarily useful for telling the viewer whether or not he is making money, how fast he is making money and when he has come to the point of not making money. Run a tab on how many minutes of the day these conditions prevail. You will find, that expressed as a percentage, it is almost all of the time.

Compare that to the entry and exit percentages which border on being nill in comparison.
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My equity curve tells me whether or not I'm making money, how fast, etc. I somehow don't confuse my equity curve with any of my indicators and still do just fine. Fine is a relative measure. Nice wrap you start with confusing and end the same: first me and then not you. [/B]


Maybe what Jack may be saying here is this:
You have tunnel vision when you focus on gaining an 'edge'. I happen to agree with Jack here, but am not interested in debating anyone either. Once one gets past the narrow focus of finding a micro 'edge', and tries to really understand how markets operate generally, one truly enters a different dimension.

I have never understood Jack's posts but I think I can see through this one and what he is saying makes sense to me: Markets cycle through different environments and it is up to the profitable trader to recognize which one of those he is in to pick the best approach and take money out. In contrast, the guy clutching on to his 'setup' devised with complete disregard for market fundamentals ( I don't mean fundamentals in the usual sense, but the fundamentals of price action or the cycle of price action rather) will never get it. He just waits for his setup where he believes he has an 'edge' and then trades. That's fine, but as Jack points out, if you want real success you need to get beyond that.

As an example think of the guy who uses a reversal bar pattern to 'enter' the market short. All he knows is that he's backtested such and such candlestick, adding a bollinger band and other indicators to the setup so that it becomes a 'high %' setup. Then he waits for his setup to happen.... ok, it finally appears, but then the market stops him out. Fine. He takes his loss and sits back, until the next signal. In the mean time, the market roars past in a furious uptrend, and our trader sits there wondering, geez, how frustrating to wait for my setup, if only I had a way to take advantage of that.

But he can't... he's too focused on his narrow 'setup'. It may sound simplistic, but being on the right side of the market and knowing how to exploit it is all that matters, the setup is always secondary to that. How does one get to the stage where one can understand immediately what the right side of the market is? That takes a lot of screen time, indicators or no indicators.

Good luck everyone.
 
No waiting, shoppers, on aisle number seven for those who have multiple independent edges. Having only one edge is like having only one fetish. The sign of a very dull mind.

This whole thread reminds me of James Thurber's book "Is Sex Necessary?"
 
Sorry guys, I'm a little late. I was just filling up my forms as the market backed up like a huge cement truck and spewed forth mud into my account. I got every last wheelbarrow full of it this AM...no waste at all. So anyway, what's going on in this thread? Have I missed anything?

JohnnyK
 
Quote from Maverick1:

I have never understood Jack's posts but I think I can see through this one and what he is saying makes sense to me: Markets cycle through different environments and it is up to the profitable trader to recognize which one of those he is in to pick the best approach and take money out. In contrast, the guy clutching on to his 'setup' devised with complete disregard for market fundamentals ( I don't mean fundamentals in the usual sense, but the fundamentals of price action or the cycle of price action rather) will never get it. He just waits for his setup where he believes he has an 'edge' and then trades. That's fine, but as Jack points out, if you want real success you need to get beyond that.

As an example think of the guy who uses a reversal bar pattern to 'enter' the market short. All he knows is that he's backtested such and such candlestick, adding a bollinger band and other indicators to the setup so that it becomes a 'high %' setup. Then he waits for his setup to happen.... ok, it finally appears, but then the market stops him out. Fine. He takes his loss and sits back, until the next signal. In the mean time, the market roars past in a furious uptrend, and our trader sits there wondering, geez, how frustrating to wait for my setup, if only I had a way to take advantage of that.

But he can't... he's too focused on his narrow 'setup'. It may sound simplistic, but being on the right side of the market and knowing how to exploit it is all that matters, the setup is always secondary to that. How does one get to the stage where one can understand immediately what the right side of the market is? That takes a lot of screen time, indicators or no indicators.


One of the best posts ever. So true.
 
Quote from Maverick1:

Maybe what Jack may be saying here is this:
You have tunnel vision when you focus on gaining an 'edge'. I happen to agree with Jack here, but am not interested in debating anyone either. Once one gets past the narrow focus of finding a micro 'edge', and tries to really understand how markets operate generally, one truly enters a different dimension.

I have never understood Jack's posts but I think I can see through this one and what he is saying makes sense to me: Markets cycle through different environments and it is up to the profitable trader to recognize which one of those he is in to pick the best approach and take money out. In contrast, the guy clutching on to his 'setup' devised with complete disregard for market fundamentals ( I don't mean fundamentals in the usual sense, but the fundamentals of price action or the cycle of price action rather) will never get it. He just waits for his setup where he believes he has an 'edge' and then trades. That's fine, but as Jack points out, if you want real success you need to get beyond that.

As an example think of the guy who uses a reversal bar pattern to 'enter' the market short. All he knows is that he's backtested such and such candlestick, adding a bollinger band and other indicators to the setup so that it becomes a 'high %' setup. Then he waits for his setup to happen.... ok, it finally appears, but then the market stops him out. Fine. He takes his loss and sits back, until the next signal. In the mean time, the market roars past in a furious uptrend, and our trader sits there wondering, geez, how frustrating to wait for my setup, if only I had a way to take advantage of that.

But he can't... he's too focused on his narrow 'setup'. It may sound simplistic, but being on the right side of the market and knowing how to exploit it is all that matters, the setup is always secondary to that. How does one get to the stage where one can understand immediately what the right side of the market is? That takes a lot of screen time, indicators or no indicators.

Good luck everyone.
You can put a dress on a pig but it's still a pig. Nice try at making sense out of nonsense, but no cigar.

Here's an example of the nonsense that can't be redeemed:

me: "Money management is necessary as well but it means nothing without good timing."

Grob109: "I have a big surprise for you. Money management has nothing to do with the use of your time and when you take the actions that you do."

Yeah, that's implicit in what I said. DUH!

Like hcour said, zealots with an agenda are too busy spewing it to pay attention to what was actually said by anybody else and to try to have a meaningful dialogue.
 
IMHO people are wasting time discussing on a metalevel. any reasonable person will not disregard a specific method before he has tested out its validity, either by live trading or by back testing. depending whether we are talking about a system trader or a more discretionary guy.

what is a price-only thing? the fact that after down days up days are more likely? or that high recent range is bullish? can you extract that out of indicators as well? sure. then it spells: close below average.

indicators or not ... it is just names. do not spend time discussing the meta levels, go out and test out more than you did yesterday.


peace
 
Quote from man:

IMHO people are wasting time discussing on a metalevel. any reasonable person will not disregard a specific method before he has tested out its validity,

what is a price-only thing?

indicators or not ... go out and test out more than you did yesterday.


peace

Man, that was a wasted post. I began the thread with an open mind to find out more about indicatorless trading so I could test it out:confused: :confused: :confused:

are you able to contribute something more useful about the subject at hand?(not being a butthead, it's a serious question)
 
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