I missed getting filled - low was $70.08-I had intended my Buy-stop level to be activated at $70.00 with $70.25 as the limit. I apparently reversed the order ticket- thus making $70.00 the Limit and $70.25 the stop. Just Sloppy, poor business placing orders in a hurry. XLE closed up 2.5% on the move. I will reverse the ticket to what it should have been, and see IF XLE gives a pullback/retest of that level.11.02.15 Nice when the market lets you feel that your calculated Risk is going to be rewarded.
Markets are higher and each of my positions gained in value today-and all are in positive territory-
I've got some free cash- thanks to losing in EEM and CU last week- and although both appear to be wanting to move higher now- i thought I'd look around at some different sectors-diversifying my positions a bit- (QQQ, HACK, PJP, SPXH )
I'd like to give myself an "ATTABOY!" for that timely re-entry into PJP as it pulled back,
as well as adding to the HACK position- but the Market deserves the credit for co-operating & allowing other "investors" to have the confidence to move the prices higher- I'll take the credit for taking the trade as it was in decline as it was based on my view that it was likely a normal pullback or retest- and that I had a defined lower level of support beneath the trade.
It makes more sense to add into a winning trade than it does into a losing trade-
Dollar cost averaging UP vs dollar cost averaging Down.
Focus tonight is XLE- Energy sector - weekly chart- It had declined 40% in just the last 15 months- with a couple of attempted rallies higher along the way. These rallies could have made excellent trades if taken on a faster time frame- some moved up 15% before the decline continued.Allowing the adept and fleet of foot trader to try to profit in both directions- Unfortunately, I am not adept and likely club footed- and late to the party.
XLE has caught my attention as it appears to have made a substantial attempt to put in a possible upside reversal over the past 4 weeks.
As i look at this on a Daily chart- i think I see the 'Spring" occurring -
Price breaking 'support' -dropping lower and promply reversing to move higher.
,pushing through the top of the prior range. Remind me to continue reading Wycoff! and define this further- but I have seen this occur - often leading into large upside moves.
I'll be Buying XLE @ $70.00 with $66.00 as the entry stop-loss.- That's a pretty wide range - and could perhaps be reduced with a higher buy-stop entry price.
I'll start with a buy-stop 30 shares- ($2100.00 ) Risking 4 x 30 = 120.00 = 120/13253 = .9% Risk- Under a 1% Risk on the trade - for the account value.
Chart wise- this trade is realistic- Instead of trying to fit a fixed stop amount on each individual trade- This fits the trade to the amount of portfolio Risk it represents.
No time for a chart - Early to bed- Early to Rise.
Note i marked up the chart with a price move i have noted in the past- where support appears to break, price drops lower, and then reverses and pushes back through the channel - and breaks out- View Wycoff and see if this qualifies as the 'Spring.'