LJM Preservation and Growth Fund, collapsed by 82 percent! (WTF?)

I calculated that with ES at 2519, with 10 days to expiration a price of 71.500 for this put would be a 122 % implied vol

I sold some OTM SPY puts for 2.10 bucks a pop with 2 days of expiration. way above typical prices. all worthless now but imagine being able to sell these things every 2-3 days for those premiums. :)
 
yeah I made about 8K this last few days some premiums were inflated. (I did hedge of course just in case). things are slowly getting back to normal. I do hope we keep VIX over 20s for the next few months.

I did lose some money on a fat finger trade, My first fat finger trade ever and it cost me 600 dollars :)
No such thing as free lunch though. If volatility stays elevated, it's also pricing a big move. Could still end up in the money. Do you sell options naked or in a spread?
 
If you saw the prices Monday to Tuesday night you would be in shock. S&P 500 Puts that expired yesterday 1000 points away from the market where trading around 9. Options price wise, this was the worst ever event.

This was THE BLACK SWAN of the black swans. Even tough market decline was not too horrible option prices were like nothing anyone saw. Not even in 2008.

Another amazing/weird thing about that night was that the spead was “tight” like within 5 points. During August 2015 it was as wide as 20 points.

May I ask, what was the ATM straddle pricing at around the time OTM 1000 strike was trading around $9. Rough % of stock price is more than sufficient

TIA

PS input from all welcome.
 
May I ask, what was the ATM straddle pricing at around the time OTM 1000 strike was trading around $9. Rough % of stock price is more than sufficient

TIA

PS input from all welcome.

No idea. You can purchase data directly from CME datamine to check this out. It is cheap if you only need few days.
 
No idea. You can purchase data directly from CME datamine to check this out. It is cheap if you only need few days.
Or just look at similar contracts that are still trading and work backwards on what an expired contract for that week would have roughly been.
 
Or just look at similar contracts that are still trading and work backwards on what an expired contract for that week would have roughly been.
Will not work that way, all expectations and models went out of the window that night. No one ever saw anything like this.
 
Will not work that way, all expectations and models went out of the window that night. No one ever saw anything like this.

What? I know nobody expected the plunge.

I'm talking about trying to figure out past options pricing of an expired contract at a specific point in time without subscribing to the service you suggested with historical pricing data. You can look at options pricing of contracts at strikes that are still trading today, extrapolate back to the time/date of the plunge, and based on the price of those contracts at the time and assuming even higher implied volatility of options for that week's expiration (but of course with lower theta), to then get a rough estimate of what prices were at the time of the plunge for those expired contracts.
 
Today's morning was perfect example when to sell puts

The funny thing is I pretty much wound down all my portfolios in Janurary and was p
No such thing as free lunch though. If volatility stays elevated, it's also pricing a big move. Could still end up in the money. Do you sell options naked or in a spread?

I always hedge. I like to define my risk level. The problem with companies like LJM is they did not hedge worth shit so they had no defined risk level and were greedy wanting to collect the entire thing. like they say bull and bears make money, pigs get slaughtered.
 
The funny thing is I pretty much wound down all my portfolios in Janurary and was p


I always hedge. I like to define my risk level. The problem with companies like LJM is they did not hedge worth shit so they had no defined risk level and were greedy wanting to collect the entire thing. like they say bull and bears make money, pigs get slaughtered.
Is their portfolio public?
 
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