Chatting today a topic came up about getting to a level where you can make money from this market. The key is to and understand the concepts of risk - the whole psychology of it.
The first bit is admitting to yourself I &^^* up! Which you have done and secondly then saying ok if I am going to do this I am going to learn.
Today is a very good example - very volatile and my risk profile remember is flat into numbers/reports and take high probability set ups - today my first 4 trades all losers (CHF was a beast today) 8 trades today - so basically flat to small down so far.and I have not traded all this market because of the volatility - yes some great opportunities but this volatility quickly brings gambling in as opposed to trading - Ed Seykota - who I think is one of the true masters was big on cutting your size down or watching from the sidelines when it gets wild - I am sure Bernanke's speach action would fall into that category.
Today's morning trades:
Open:
02/15/2006 11:15am Forex Buy EUR/GBP 0.6823 0.6821 Murrey -2/8 (F)
Closed:
02/15/2006 10:48am Forex Sell EUR/USD 1.1892 1.1886 1.1898 +0.0006 Figure Holding
02/15/2006 10:25am Forex Cover USD/CHF 1.3050 1.3054 1.3040 +0.0010 Trailing Stop
02/15/2006 10:14am Forex Cover USD/CHF 1.3056 1.3061 1.3049 +0.0007 Momentum Stalled
02/15/2006 09:46am Forex Cover USD/CHF 1.3056 1.3062 1.3061 -0.0005 Trailing Stop
02/15/2006 09:42am Forex Cover USD/CHF 1.3049 1.3058 1.3058 -0.0009 Trailing Stop
02/15/2006 09:14am Forex Sell USD/CHF 1.3052 1.3046 1.3047 -0.0005 No Impulse Up
02/15/2006 08:42am Forex Cover EUR/USD 1.1912 1.1916 1.1917 -0.0005 Stopped Out
The other key be patient - don't expect to win all the time.