Like i said the rally has been much much more amazing than the decline was

Anyone could call this rally. It's not that hard to see. Fed is still in QE infinity which means cheap money for banks to lend to companies in distress. Analysts are discounting poor performance as coronavirus (a binary "one time" event) so no one is selling on bad news. Moreover, the Trump pump is still alive and well and every time he brow beats governors over not opening back up the market rallies on the hope they will.

The market is high on hopium. The fall will be glorious. When atlas (the fed) drops the market flat on it's face when it ends QE infinity a 50% drop will likely look like a normal day at the office. Keep in mind the fed has a very good reason for pumping the market. The nearest retiring generation (the boomers) have their retirements tied up in index pegged 401ks and pensions. The country would suffer greatly if these people were forced to either stay in the labor pool longer or get on social programs.

The economy isn't great. In fact I'd bet we are already in a depression (a GDP drop of 10%). The market indices no longer represent the overall health of the economy. We're navel gazing about the market like it's any different than watching the number history at a roulette table.
As I see from my long experience, but did not have that crap happened in my life experience I only can say you folks we be surprised how we will resolve this crap too.
 
The best part is that the rally might have just begun. In the late 90s, Fed panic over the EM crises and Y2K arguably caused the dotcom blowoff. Corona might have the same effect this time around, with a much greater magnitude.

Nutty? Sure, but now consider that this rally is even more hated than 2010-19, institutional players are heavily bearish having puked at the lows, while the Fed is now trapped into keeping the money printer running full blast. The only stumbling block I see is the election, but a consolidation through year-end would set up a massive rally for 2021.
 
The best part is that the rally might have just begun. In the late 90s, Fed panic over the EM crises and Y2K arguably caused the dotcom blowoff. Corona might have the same effect this time around, with a much greater magnitude.

Nutty? Sure, but now consider that this rally is even more hated than 2010-19, institutional players are heavily bearish having puked at the lows, while the Fed is now trapped into keeping the money printer running full blast. The only stumbling block I see is the election, but a consolidation through year-end would set up a massive rally for 2021.
I guess, you can not compare 90s, y2k, 9/11, 2008, I went through all of this crap.
Besides this all could be right.
 
SPX decline took all of 17 days. Rally has (to date) taken 44 and still not above ATH's.

And most would say SPX has been range bound / sideways for at least a month now.
 
SPX decline took all of 17 days. Rally has (to date) taken 44 and still not above ATH's.

And most would say SPX has been range bound / sideways for at least a month now.
Sure that how it goes. I would be surprised if it comes opposite.
 
Some pundits on various sites keep talking about the inevitable inflation. Prices on commercial real estate are falling, same with cars new and used, etc. Where will the inflation be? Pundits, it is already here, in the form of radically higher stock prices than in March! All that money being created out of thin air, combined with the policies of various Central Banks, has created an inflated market that is quite detached from the economic slog ahead of nations. The one percent front-ran the Fed once again, knowing the inevitable, at least for a time ...

Although the odds may be against it, I am not completely convinced the lows will not be revisited, because we live in an incredibly complex and unstable environment. US-China tensions could explode, what if something happens to Trump, health-wise, or other wise. Part of my education was a professional degree in international policy, and I have seen some strange things over the years. Events have already happened in this bizarre year of 2020 that have made my head spin, and plenty of the year is left. As the saying goes:"May you live in interesting times."
 
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Some pundits on various sites keep talking about the inevitable inflation. Prices on commercial real estate are falling, same with cars new and used, etc. Where will the inflation be? Pundits, it is already here, in the form of radically higher stock prices than in March! All that money being created out of thin air, combined with the policies of various Central Banks, has created an inflated market that is quite detached from the economic slog ahead of nations. The one percent front-ran the Fed once again, knowing the inevitable, at least for a time ...

Although the odds may be against it, I am not completely convinced the lows will not be revisited, because we live in an incredibly complex and unstable environment. US-China tensions could explode, what if something happens to Trump, health-wise, or other wise. Part of my education was a professional degree in international policy, and I have seen some strange things over the years. Events have already happened in this bizarre year of 2020 that have made my head spin, and plenty of the year is left. As the saying goes:"May you live in interesting times."
Oy vey, what if stone will fall on somebody’s head...;)
 
I can make a case that we were in an 11 year super bull and a 20-30% decline was just a normal occurrence . The world stopped and debt levels have exploded $5-$10 trillion and tons of Bk's to come yet the mkt's back to levels of last sept like nothing happened leaves one speechless .This has no bearing on my trading but i'm fascinated how easily anything bad is discarded and has been for decades . I really thought this time the piper would finally be paid and it still might be but its looking like the lows of 2176 will be super hard to hit

Finally broke 3000 and am surprised not more 3day bear pullbacks during recent run.

I still think that a major selloff is possible soon. If so it'll likely be hard with cb halts etc

But in the meantime I trade what I see like TNA PENN CGC etc in addition to inverses which have been terrible lately
 
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