Quote from Ricter:
There are two sides to the ledger, and it's easy to simply blame the AP side when that side is largely "social" expenditures and your mindset is to frown on those in general. But with an AR side to support it, and cash flow of course, the AP side would be a non-issue. Greece's recent problems began with demography (like so many of its neighbors), a general lack of sales, and yes, a failure to reduce outgoes accordingly. The anger on the street stems from the perception that certain privileged groups will not share equally in the austerity measures.
The problem i think has to do with the way leaders get elected and democracy in general, combined with people todays total lack of ability to think towards the future. If the government on either side expressed any kind of fiscal discipline during boom times, and saved some of the money off of resulting budget surpluses, then they would be positioned well to stimulate the economy through decreased taxes or increased spending during economic crises, as opposed to just inflating their way out of a total mess. The problem is that government on both sides panders to people for votes, and the second there is a surplus they figure out how to spend it to get more votes to get re-elected. Good luck getting elected on the slogan:
"we must save this budget surplus in order to prepare for the inevitable crisis which is coming some time in the future, at a date which i dont know." In fact i think if a president would have said that at the height of the tech bubble or the housing bubble, the overwhelming consensus amongst the majority of people would have been that the guy was actually insane, people would have tried to have him comitted.
Government in general considers it a huge deal just to balance a frigging budget during boom times, if you live your life like that and spend every dime which comes your way at some time in your life you will end up out on the street, however government/corporations get a free pass to spend as much as they want during booms, and print their way out of busts. Where as the average every day citizen does not.
If government, or people in general on either side were ever able to express any kind of restraint, you could actually keep the economy on a slow growing upward pace permanently but it doesnt happen. I guess it is just the nature of the majority of the population today to spend everything they make with no regard to the future.
I guess the 2 main emotions which drive the stock market according to Livermore, (fear, and greed) are what drive most people to make most economic decisions as well.