Latest Numbers
- Thread starter JamesL
- Start date
source it
nevermind - found it
http://seekingalpha.com/article/200367-how-should-an-investor-follow-political-news?source=feed
from the article:
Conclusion
It is easy to see why the prediction markets are swinging GOP. If the Democrats want to maintain House control, they had better hope for a dramatic improvement in the economy and the President's approval ratings.
Bottom line, does not bode well
nevermind - found it
http://seekingalpha.com/article/200367-how-should-an-investor-follow-political-news?source=feed
from the article:
Conclusion
It is easy to see why the prediction markets are swinging GOP. If the Democrats want to maintain House control, they had better hope for a dramatic improvement in the economy and the President's approval ratings.
Bottom line, does not bode well
A 45 % approval rating isnt bad imo, especially when compared to the approval ratings of the democratic and republican congress
from the chart for Reagan/Carter the highest point happens during the first month in the office. this makes sense since people are deluded into thinking that the new president will make a difference. two years later the crowd realizes that the president can make very little difference in their lives so by that point they hate the guy.
in general approval/disapproval should be normalized by the quality of life of the voters at the time.